Xi Jinping’s anti-corruption and discipline enforcement drive has accelerated through 2025–2026, producing an unprecedented wave of investigations and removals across the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army. Multiple Central Military Commission members, including Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, faced probes in January 2026, while Politburo member Ma Xingrui was placed under investigation in April and expelled from the body in July. Over one million cases were opened in 2025 alone, with ministerial-level officials hit at record rates and dozens of generals removed or sidelined. The Fifth Plenary Session scheduled for October 2026 is expected to formalize additional Central Committee expulsions, focusing on perceived disloyalty, factional ties, and corruption in procurement and command structures. These patterns shape trader assessments of which senior figures or cohorts remain vulnerable through year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$210,666 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Dong Jun
7%
Zhang Shengmin
7%
Zhao Leji
5%
Cai Qi
5%
Ding Xuexiang
4%
Wang Huning
3%
Wang Yi
1%
Li Xi
1%
Li Qiang
1%
$210,666 Vol.
Dong Jun
$39,541 Vol.
7%
Zhang Shengmin
$29,757 Vol.
7%
Zhao Leji
$11,674 Vol.
5%
Cai Qi
$49,413 Vol.
5%
Ding Xuexiang
$16,189 Vol.
4%
Wang Huning
$12,098 Vol.
3%
Wang Yi
$15,730 Vol.
1%
Li Xi
$29,232 Vol.
1%
Li Qiang
$7,032 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s anti-corruption and discipline enforcement drive has accelerated through 2025–2026, producing an unprecedented wave of investigations and removals across the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army. Multiple Central Military Commission members, including Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, faced probes in January 2026, while Politburo member Ma Xingrui was placed under investigation in April and expelled from the body in July. Over one million cases were opened in 2025 alone, with ministerial-level officials hit at record rates and dozens of generals removed or sidelined. The Fifth Plenary Session scheduled for October 2026 is expected to formalize additional Central Committee expulsions, focusing on perceived disloyalty, factional ties, and corruption in procurement and command structures. These patterns shape trader assessments of which senior figures or cohorts remain vulnerable through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volume
$210,666Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s anti-corruption and discipline enforcement drive has accelerated through 2025–2026, producing an unprecedented wave of investigations and removals across the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army. Multiple Central Military Commission members, including Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, faced probes in January 2026, while Politburo member Ma Xingrui was placed under investigation in April and expelled from the body in July. Over one million cases were opened in 2025 alone, with ministerial-level officials hit at record rates and dozens of generals removed or sidelined. The Fifth Plenary Session scheduled for October 2026 is expected to formalize additional Central Committee expulsions, focusing on perceived disloyalty, factional ties, and corruption in procurement and command structures. These patterns shape trader assessments of which senior figures or cohorts remain vulnerable through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$210,666Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s anti-corruption and discipline enforcement drive has accelerated through 2025–2026, producing an unprecedented wave of investigations and removals across the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army. Multiple Central Military Commission members, including Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, faced probes in January 2026, while Politburo member Ma Xingrui was placed under investigation in April and expelled from the body in July. Over one million cases were opened in 2025 alone, with ministerial-level officials hit at record rates and dozens of generals removed or sidelined. The Fifth Plenary Session scheduled for October 2026 is expected to formalize additional Central Committee expulsions, focusing on perceived disloyalty, factional ties, and corruption in procurement and command structures. These patterns shape trader assessments of which senior figures or cohorts remain vulnerable through year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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