Marco Rubio leads trader consensus in this market at 30.5 percent, reflecting his elevated national profile from serving as Secretary of State with expanded diplomatic duties that have kept him in the spotlight amid a fragmented field. J.D. Vance trails far behind at 5.5 percent, consistent with positioning as the likely 2028 presidential frontrunner rather than a running mate. Lower probabilities for figures such as Marjorie Taylor Greene, Thomas Massie, and Elise Stefanik stem from narrower ideological bases or less executive-branch exposure. With no dominant alternative yet emerging, consolidation around one contender could occur through Trump administration signals, 2026 midterm performance, or early positioning that narrows options before formal announcements. The wide spread across dozens of names underscores the early stage of the cycle and uncertainty over ticket dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRepublican VP Nominee 2028
Marco Rubio 31%
Marjorie Taylor Greene 6.7%
J.D. Vance 7%
Thomas Massie 5.1%
$46,390 Vol.
$46,390 Vol.
Marco Rubio
31%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
7%
J.D. Vance
7%
Thomas Massie
5%
Elise Stefanik
5%
Ivanka Trump
5%
Rand Paul
4%
Donald Trump Jr.
3%
Josh Hawley
3%
Donald Trump
3%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
Brian Kemp
3%
Ted Cruz
3%
Kristi Noem
2%
Elon Musk
2%
Tucker Carlson
2%
Katie Britt
2%
Nikki Haley
1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
1%
Joe Kent
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Erika Kirk
1%
Matt Gaetz
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
Tulsi Gabbard
1%
Eric Trump
1%
Glenn Youngkin
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%
Ron DeSantis
1%
Greg Abbott
1%
Byron Donalds
1%
John Thune
1%
Mike Pence
1%
Steve Bannon
1%
Tom Brady
1%
Marco Rubio 31%
Marjorie Taylor Greene 6.7%
J.D. Vance 7%
Thomas Massie 5.1%
$46,390 Vol.
$46,390 Vol.
Marco Rubio
31%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
7%
J.D. Vance
7%
Thomas Massie
5%
Elise Stefanik
5%
Ivanka Trump
5%
Rand Paul
4%
Donald Trump Jr.
3%
Josh Hawley
3%
Donald Trump
3%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
Brian Kemp
3%
Ted Cruz
3%
Kristi Noem
2%
Elon Musk
2%
Tucker Carlson
2%
Katie Britt
2%
Nikki Haley
1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
1%
Joe Kent
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Erika Kirk
1%
Matt Gaetz
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
Tulsi Gabbard
1%
Eric Trump
1%
Glenn Youngkin
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%
Ron DeSantis
1%
Greg Abbott
1%
Byron Donalds
1%
John Thune
1%
Mike Pence
1%
Steve Bannon
1%
Tom Brady
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Marco Rubio leads trader consensus in this market at 30.5 percent, reflecting his elevated national profile from serving as Secretary of State with expanded diplomatic duties that have kept him in the spotlight amid a fragmented field. J.D. Vance trails far behind at 5.5 percent, consistent with positioning as the likely 2028 presidential frontrunner rather than a running mate. Lower probabilities for figures such as Marjorie Taylor Greene, Thomas Massie, and Elise Stefanik stem from narrower ideological bases or less executive-branch exposure. With no dominant alternative yet emerging, consolidation around one contender could occur through Trump administration signals, 2026 midterm performance, or early positioning that narrows options before formal announcements. The wide spread across dozens of names underscores the early stage of the cycle and uncertainty over ticket dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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