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icon for Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

icon for Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Marco Rubio 31%

Marjorie Taylor Greene 6.7%

J.D. Vance 7%

Thomas Massie 5.1%

Polymarket

$46,390 Vol.

Marco Rubio 31%

Marjorie Taylor Greene 6.7%

J.D. Vance 7%

Thomas Massie 5.1%

Polymarket

$46,390 Vol.

Marco Rubio

$10,956 Vol.

31%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$1,181 Vol.

7%

J.D. Vance

$4,071 Vol.

7%

Thomas Massie

$1,082 Vol.

5%

Elise Stefanik

$696 Vol.

5%

Ivanka Trump

$573 Vol.

5%

Rand Paul

$699 Vol.

4%

Donald Trump Jr.

$1,810 Vol.

3%

Josh Hawley

$833 Vol.

3%

Donald Trump

$2,077 Vol.

3%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$888 Vol.

3%

Brian Kemp

$1,083 Vol.

3%

Ted Cruz

$1,614 Vol.

3%

Kristi Noem

$589 Vol.

2%

Elon Musk

$623 Vol.

2%

Tucker Carlson

$588 Vol.

2%

Katie Britt

$636 Vol.

2%

Nikki Haley

$1,305 Vol.

1%

Vivek Ramaswamy

$738 Vol.

1%

Joe Kent

$760 Vol.

1%

Pete Hegseth

$1,070 Vol.

1%

Erika Kirk

$884 Vol.

1%

Matt Gaetz

$721 Vol.

1%

Kim Kardashian

$545 Vol.

1%

Tulsi Gabbard

$1,734 Vol.

1%

Eric Trump

$1,010 Vol.

1%

Glenn Youngkin

$713 Vol.

1%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$1,210 Vol.

1%

Ron DeSantis

$902 Vol.

1%

Greg Abbott

$737 Vol.

1%

Byron Donalds

$1,057 Vol.

1%

John Thune

$1,166 Vol.

1%

Mike Pence

$625 Vol.

1%

Steve Bannon

$507 Vol.

1%

Tom Brady

$706 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Marco Rubio leads trader consensus in this market at 30.5 percent, reflecting his elevated national profile from serving as Secretary of State with expanded diplomatic duties that have kept him in the spotlight amid a fragmented field. J.D. Vance trails far behind at 5.5 percent, consistent with positioning as the likely 2028 presidential frontrunner rather than a running mate. Lower probabilities for figures such as Marjorie Taylor Greene, Thomas Massie, and Elise Stefanik stem from narrower ideological bases or less executive-branch exposure. With no dominant alternative yet emerging, consolidation around one contender could occur through Trump administration signals, 2026 midterm performance, or early positioning that narrows options before formal announcements. The wide spread across dozens of names underscores the early stage of the cycle and uncertainty over ticket dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$46,390
Data de Término
14 ago 2028
Mercado Aberto
Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Marco Rubio leads trader consensus in this market at 30.5 percent, reflecting his elevated national profile from serving as Secretary of State with expanded diplomatic duties that have kept him in the spotlight amid a fragmented field. J.D. Vance trails far behind at 5.5 percent, consistent with positioning as the likely 2028 presidential frontrunner rather than a running mate. Lower probabilities for figures such as Marjorie Taylor Greene, Thomas Massie, and Elise Stefanik stem from narrower ideological bases or less executive-branch exposure. With no dominant alternative yet emerging, consolidation around one contender could occur through Trump administration signals, 2026 midterm performance, or early positioning that narrows options before formal announcements. The wide spread across dozens of names underscores the early stage of the cycle and uncertainty over ticket dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$46,390
Data de Término
14 ago 2028
Mercado Aberto
Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Republican VP Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Marco Rubio" at 31%, followed by "Marjorie Taylor Greene" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Republican VP Nominee 2028" has generated $46.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Republican VP Nominee 2028," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Republican VP Nominee 2028" is "Marco Rubio" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marjorie Taylor Greene" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Republican VP Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.