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icon for Eleição para Governador de Nevada: Vencedor do Condado de Clark

Eleição para Governador de Nevada: Vencedor do Condado de Clark

icon for Eleição para Governador de Nevada: Vencedor do Condado de Clark

Eleição para Governador de Nevada: Vencedor do Condado de Clark

Polymarket
NOVO
Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Aaron Ford (D)

Aaron Ford (D)

$980 Vol.

88%

icon for Joe Lombardo (R)

Joe Lombardo (R)

$454 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Clark County in the general election for Governor of Nevada, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Nevada, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Clark County.Aaron Ford holds an overwhelming 87.5% implied probability of winning Clark County in the November 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election, while incumbent Joe Lombardo sits at 6%. This positioning stems from Clark County's status as Nevada's most populous and reliably Democratic-leaning jurisdiction, anchored by Las Vegas. Ford secured the Democratic nomination in June with strong primary performance there, building on his established statewide profile as attorney general. Lombardo, despite his prior role as Clark County sheriff and recent Republican primary victory, faces structural headwinds in the county amid a broader race rated as competitive or lean Republican statewide by multiple forecasters. Recent July polling shows the overall contest within a few points, underscoring how county-level partisan patterns drive the localized market pricing.

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Clark County in the general election for Governor of Nevada, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Nevada, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Clark County.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Clark County in the general election for Governor of Nevada, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Nevada, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Clark County.
Volume
$1,434
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 1:43 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Clark County in the general election for Governor of Nevada, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Nevada, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Clark County.Aaron Ford holds an overwhelming 87.5% implied probability of winning Clark County in the November 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election, while incumbent Joe Lombardo sits at 6%. This positioning stems from Clark County's status as Nevada's most populous and reliably Democratic-leaning jurisdiction, anchored by Las Vegas. Ford secured the Democratic nomination in June with strong primary performance there, building on his established statewide profile as attorney general. Lombardo, despite his prior role as Clark County sheriff and recent Republican primary victory, faces structural headwinds in the county amid a broader race rated as competitive or lean Republican statewide by multiple forecasters. Recent July polling shows the overall contest within a few points, underscoring how county-level partisan patterns drive the localized market pricing.

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Clark County in the general election for Governor of Nevada, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Nevada, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Clark County.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Clark County in the general election for Governor of Nevada, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Nevada, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Clark County.
Volume
$1,434
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 1:43 PM ET

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição para Governador de Nevada: Vencedor do Condado de Clark" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aaron Ford (D)" at 88%, followed by "Joe Lombardo (R)" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Eleição para Governador de Nevada: Vencedor do Condado de Clark" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Eleição para Governador de Nevada: Vencedor do Condado de Clark," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição para Governador de Nevada: Vencedor do Condado de Clark" is "Aaron Ford (D)" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Joe Lombardo (R)" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição para Governador de Nevada: Vencedor do Condado de Clark" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.