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icon for Quem dará a próxima conferência de imprensa da Casa Branca?
Política·Trump

Quem dará a próxima conferência de imprensa da Casa Branca?

icon for Quem dará a próxima conferência de imprensa da Casa Branca?
Política·Trump

Quem dará a próxima conferência de imprensa da Casa Branca?

JD Vance 25%

Marco Rubio 14%

Stephen Miller 13%

Margo Martin 8.1%

Polymarket
NOVO

JD Vance 25%

Marco Rubio 14%

Stephen Miller 13%

Margo Martin 8.1%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for JD Vance

JD Vance

$76 Vol.

25%

icon for Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

$90 Vol.

14%

icon for Stephen Miller

Stephen Miller

$529 Vol.

13%

icon for Margo Martin

Margo Martin

$115 Vol.

8%

icon for Kush Desai

Kush Desai

$137 Vol.

8%

icon for Scott Bessent

Scott Bessent

$69 Vol.

8%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$337 Vol.

7%

icon for Scott Jennings

Scott Jennings

$154 Vol.

6%

icon for Liz Huston

Liz Huston

$189 Vol.

5%

icon for Harrison Fields

Harrison Fields

$130 Vol.

3%

icon for Anna Kelly

Anna Kelly

$69 Vol.

3%

icon for Taylor Rogers

Taylor Rogers

$114 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the individual who leads the next White House press briefing following the creation of this market. Resolution is based on who actually delivers the briefing from the podium, not on who is listed or announced in advance. If the individual scheduled or announced to give a briefing does not ultimately lead it, this market will resolve to the individual who does. An individual who appears at a qualifying briefing only as a guest, or who speaks only after being introduced by the individual leading the briefing, will not qualify. For the purposes of this market, a White House press briefing is an event listed on the public White House schedule as a press briefing. Any such briefing will qualify, even if the individual leading it has not been formally announced as the Press Secretary or as an acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" briefings and special briefings including additional guests will qualify, so long as the individual leads the briefing. Impromptu press gaggles, and remarks that are not listed on the public schedule as a press briefing, will not qualify. If two or more individuals jointly lead the next qualifying briefing, this market will resolve to the individual who speaks first. If no qualifying White House press briefing occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on footage of the briefing, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.The broad field of candidates priced near 50% reflects ongoing uncertainty over White House briefing assignments in the current administration, where spokespeople from multiple offices rotate duties without a single designated lead. Recent cabinet-level travel, legislative negotiations, and policy rollouts have involved officials such as JD Vance, Marco Rubio, and Stephen Miller in public-facing roles, yet none has consolidated the next slot. Trader consensus shows tight spreads because procedural decisions rest with the press secretary's office and White House scheduling, subject to last-minute changes from events or senior staff preferences. Confirmation of a regular briefer, an official schedule release, or an unplanned development such as a major announcement could quickly separate probabilities ahead of the next session.

This market will resolve according to the individual who leads the next White House press briefing following the creation of this market.

Resolution is based on who actually delivers the briefing from the podium, not on who is listed or announced in advance. If the individual scheduled or announced to give a briefing does not ultimately lead it, this market will resolve to the individual who does. An individual who appears at a qualifying briefing only as a guest, or who speaks only after being introduced by the individual leading the briefing, will not qualify.

For the purposes of this market, a White House press briefing is an event listed on the public White House schedule as a press briefing. Any such briefing will qualify, even if the individual leading it has not been formally announced as the Press Secretary or as an acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" briefings and special briefings including additional guests will qualify, so long as the individual leads the briefing.

Impromptu press gaggles, and remarks that are not listed on the public schedule as a press briefing, will not qualify.

If two or more individuals jointly lead the next qualifying briefing, this market will resolve to the individual who speaks first.

If no qualifying White House press briefing occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on footage of the briefing, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the individual who leads the next White House press briefing following the creation of this market. Resolution is based on who actually delivers the briefing from the podium, not on who is listed or announced in advance. If the individual scheduled or announced to give a briefing does not ultimately lead it, this market will resolve to the individual who does. An individual who appears at a qualifying briefing only as a guest, or who speaks only after being introduced by the individual leading the briefing, will not qualify. For the purposes of this market, a White House press briefing is an event listed on the public White House schedule as a press briefing. Any such briefing will qualify, even if the individual leading it has not been formally announced as the Press Secretary or as an acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" briefings and special briefings including additional guests will qualify, so long as the individual leads the briefing. Impromptu press gaggles, and remarks that are not listed on the public schedule as a press briefing, will not qualify. If two or more individuals jointly lead the next qualifying briefing, this market will resolve to the individual who speaks first. If no qualifying White House press briefing occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on footage of the briefing, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,009
Data de Término
30 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 11:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who leads the next White House press briefing following the creation of this market. Resolution is based on who actually delivers the briefing from the podium, not on who is listed or announced in advance. If the individual scheduled or announced to give a briefing does not ultimately lead it, this market will resolve to the individual who does. An individual who appears at a qualifying briefing only as a guest, or who speaks only after being introduced by the individual leading the briefing, will not qualify. For the purposes of this market, a White House press briefing is an event listed on the public White House schedule as a press briefing. Any such briefing will qualify, even if the individual leading it has not been formally announced as the Press Secretary or as an acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" briefings and special briefings including additional guests will qualify, so long as the individual leads the briefing. Impromptu press gaggles, and remarks that are not listed on the public schedule as a press briefing, will not qualify. If two or more individuals jointly lead the next qualifying briefing, this market will resolve to the individual who speaks first. If no qualifying White House press briefing occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on footage of the briefing, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.The broad field of candidates priced near 50% reflects ongoing uncertainty over White House briefing assignments in the current administration, where spokespeople from multiple offices rotate duties without a single designated lead. Recent cabinet-level travel, legislative negotiations, and policy rollouts have involved officials such as JD Vance, Marco Rubio, and Stephen Miller in public-facing roles, yet none has consolidated the next slot. Trader consensus shows tight spreads because procedural decisions rest with the press secretary's office and White House scheduling, subject to last-minute changes from events or senior staff preferences. Confirmation of a regular briefer, an official schedule release, or an unplanned development such as a major announcement could quickly separate probabilities ahead of the next session.

This market will resolve according to the individual who leads the next White House press briefing following the creation of this market.

Resolution is based on who actually delivers the briefing from the podium, not on who is listed or announced in advance. If the individual scheduled or announced to give a briefing does not ultimately lead it, this market will resolve to the individual who does. An individual who appears at a qualifying briefing only as a guest, or who speaks only after being introduced by the individual leading the briefing, will not qualify.

For the purposes of this market, a White House press briefing is an event listed on the public White House schedule as a press briefing. Any such briefing will qualify, even if the individual leading it has not been formally announced as the Press Secretary or as an acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" briefings and special briefings including additional guests will qualify, so long as the individual leads the briefing.

Impromptu press gaggles, and remarks that are not listed on the public schedule as a press briefing, will not qualify.

If two or more individuals jointly lead the next qualifying briefing, this market will resolve to the individual who speaks first.

If no qualifying White House press briefing occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on footage of the briefing, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the individual who leads the next White House press briefing following the creation of this market. Resolution is based on who actually delivers the briefing from the podium, not on who is listed or announced in advance. If the individual scheduled or announced to give a briefing does not ultimately lead it, this market will resolve to the individual who does. An individual who appears at a qualifying briefing only as a guest, or who speaks only after being introduced by the individual leading the briefing, will not qualify. For the purposes of this market, a White House press briefing is an event listed on the public White House schedule as a press briefing. Any such briefing will qualify, even if the individual leading it has not been formally announced as the Press Secretary or as an acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" briefings and special briefings including additional guests will qualify, so long as the individual leads the briefing. Impromptu press gaggles, and remarks that are not listed on the public schedule as a press briefing, will not qualify. If two or more individuals jointly lead the next qualifying briefing, this market will resolve to the individual who speaks first. If no qualifying White House press briefing occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on footage of the briefing, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,009
Data de Término
30 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 11:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem dará a próxima conferência de imprensa da Casa Branca?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "JD Vance" at 25%, followed by "Marco Rubio" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Quem dará a próxima conferência de imprensa da Casa Branca?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Quem dará a próxima conferência de imprensa da Casa Branca?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem dará a próxima conferência de imprensa da Casa Branca?" is "JD Vance" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marco Rubio" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem dará a próxima conferência de imprensa da Casa Branca?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.