Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez holds a commanding lead in the NY-14 general election due to the district's consistent Democratic tilt, evidenced by her 2024 margin exceeding 33 points and multiple forecasters rating the seat Solid Democratic. She secured the Democratic nomination in June with nearly 87 percent of the primary vote against limited opposition, while Diamant Hysenaj advanced unopposed on the Republican line. Substantial fundraising disparities and the absence of competitive polling further reinforce trader consensus on her position. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national partisan shift or unusually high Republican turnout in the Queens and Bronx portions of the district ahead of the November 3 contest.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara de NY-14
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara de NY-14
$54,765 Vol.
$54,765 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D)
96%
Diamant Hysenaj (R)
4%
$54,765 Vol.
$54,765 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D)
$29,905 Vol.
96%
Diamant Hysenaj (R)
$24,860 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez holds a commanding lead in the NY-14 general election due to the district's consistent Democratic tilt, evidenced by her 2024 margin exceeding 33 points and multiple forecasters rating the seat Solid Democratic. She secured the Democratic nomination in June with nearly 87 percent of the primary vote against limited opposition, while Diamant Hysenaj advanced unopposed on the Republican line. Substantial fundraising disparities and the absence of competitive polling further reinforce trader consensus on her position. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national partisan shift or unusually high Republican turnout in the Queens and Bronx portions of the district ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$54,765Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez holds a commanding lead in the NY-14 general election due to the district's consistent Democratic tilt, evidenced by her 2024 margin exceeding 33 points and multiple forecasters rating the seat Solid Democratic. She secured the Democratic nomination in June with nearly 87 percent of the primary vote against limited opposition, while Diamant Hysenaj advanced unopposed on the Republican line. Substantial fundraising disparities and the absence of competitive polling further reinforce trader consensus on her position. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national partisan shift or unusually high Republican turnout in the Queens and Bronx portions of the district ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$54,765Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez holds a commanding lead in the NY-14 general election due to the district's consistent Democratic tilt, evidenced by her 2024 margin exceeding 33 points and multiple forecasters rating the seat Solid Democratic. She secured the Democratic nomination in June with nearly 87 percent of the primary vote against limited opposition, while Diamant Hysenaj advanced unopposed on the Republican line. Substantial fundraising disparities and the absence of competitive polling further reinforce trader consensus on her position. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national partisan shift or unusually high Republican turnout in the Queens and Bronx portions of the district ahead of the November 3 contest.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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