John Mannion holds a commanding lead in the NY-22 House race, reflecting the district's Solid Democratic rating from the Cook Political Report and similar assessments from other forecasters. As the incumbent seeking reelection on November 3, 2026, Mannion benefits from substantial fundraising dominance, with over $2.9 million raised compared to Kailee Buller's roughly $267,000 through June 2026, along with far higher cash on hand. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries in the Central New York district covering areas like Syracuse and Utica. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns for seats rated safe or solid for one party. Late developments such as major national political shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could still alter the outcome before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$22,266 Vol.
$22,266 Vol.
3 nov 2026
John Mannion (D)
93%
Kailee Buller (R)
6%
$22,266 Vol.
$22,266 Vol.
3 nov 2026
John Mannion (D)
$10,907 Vol.
93%
Kailee Buller (R)
$11,358 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).John Mannion holds a commanding lead in the NY-22 House race, reflecting the district's Solid Democratic rating from the Cook Political Report and similar assessments from other forecasters. As the incumbent seeking reelection on November 3, 2026, Mannion benefits from substantial fundraising dominance, with over $2.9 million raised compared to Kailee Buller's roughly $267,000 through June 2026, along with far higher cash on hand. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries in the Central New York district covering areas like Syracuse and Utica. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns for seats rated safe or solid for one party. Late developments such as major national political shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Volume
$22,266Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).John Mannion holds a commanding lead in the NY-22 House race, reflecting the district's Solid Democratic rating from the Cook Political Report and similar assessments from other forecasters. As the incumbent seeking reelection on November 3, 2026, Mannion benefits from substantial fundraising dominance, with over $2.9 million raised compared to Kailee Buller's roughly $267,000 through June 2026, along with far higher cash on hand. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries in the Central New York district covering areas like Syracuse and Utica. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns for seats rated safe or solid for one party. Late developments such as major national political shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$22,266Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...John Mannion holds a commanding lead in the NY-22 House race, reflecting the district's Solid Democratic rating from the Cook Political Report and similar assessments from other forecasters. As the incumbent seeking reelection on November 3, 2026, Mannion benefits from substantial fundraising dominance, with over $2.9 million raised compared to Kailee Buller's roughly $267,000 through June 2026, along with far higher cash on hand. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries in the Central New York district covering areas like Syracuse and Utica. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns for seats rated safe or solid for one party. Late developments such as major national political shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could still alter the outcome before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions