Nick Langworthy's position as the Republican incumbent in New York's 23rd congressional district underpins the market's strong consensus, as the area has shown consistent Republican leanings in recent cycles and rates as solidly Republican according to established analyses. Langworthy secured his party's nomination without opposition in the June primary and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage over Democratic nominee Aaron Gies, who advanced after defeating his primary opponent. With the general election set for November 3, traders appear to weigh these structural factors heavily. Unlikely but possible shifts could stem from major late-campaign developments such as scandals, health issues, or sharp national political changes that alter turnout patterns in this multi-county upstate district.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa NY-23
Vencedor da eleição da casa NY-23
$32,257 Vol.
$32,257 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Nick Langworthy (R)
95%
Aaron Gies (D)
4%
$32,257 Vol.
$32,257 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Nick Langworthy (R)
$16,757 Vol.
95%
Aaron Gies (D)
$15,500 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nick Langworthy's position as the Republican incumbent in New York's 23rd congressional district underpins the market's strong consensus, as the area has shown consistent Republican leanings in recent cycles and rates as solidly Republican according to established analyses. Langworthy secured his party's nomination without opposition in the June primary and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage over Democratic nominee Aaron Gies, who advanced after defeating his primary opponent. With the general election set for November 3, traders appear to weigh these structural factors heavily. Unlikely but possible shifts could stem from major late-campaign developments such as scandals, health issues, or sharp national political changes that alter turnout patterns in this multi-county upstate district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$32,257Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nick Langworthy's position as the Republican incumbent in New York's 23rd congressional district underpins the market's strong consensus, as the area has shown consistent Republican leanings in recent cycles and rates as solidly Republican according to established analyses. Langworthy secured his party's nomination without opposition in the June primary and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage over Democratic nominee Aaron Gies, who advanced after defeating his primary opponent. With the general election set for November 3, traders appear to weigh these structural factors heavily. Unlikely but possible shifts could stem from major late-campaign developments such as scandals, health issues, or sharp national political changes that alter turnout patterns in this multi-county upstate district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,257Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nick Langworthy's position as the Republican incumbent in New York's 23rd congressional district underpins the market's strong consensus, as the area has shown consistent Republican leanings in recent cycles and rates as solidly Republican according to established analyses. Langworthy secured his party's nomination without opposition in the June primary and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage over Democratic nominee Aaron Gies, who advanced after defeating his primary opponent. With the general election set for November 3, traders appear to weigh these structural factors heavily. Unlikely but possible shifts could stem from major late-campaign developments such as scandals, health issues, or sharp national political changes that alter turnout patterns in this multi-county upstate district.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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