Gabe Amo holds a commanding 95% implied probability in the RI-01 general election market due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent’s 63% victory margin in 2024. Amo secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the September 9 primary, while Republican Kellie Keenan also advanced without opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the area’s consistent preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The November 3 contest features limited reported shifts in the past month. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusual national political realignment, though such factors have not emerged to date.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Casa RI-01
Vencedor da eleição para a Casa RI-01
$36,140 Vol.
$36,140 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Gabe Amo (D)
95%
Kellie Keenan (R)
5%
$36,140 Vol.
$36,140 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Gabe Amo (D)
$6,061 Vol.
95%
Kellie Keenan (R)
$30,079 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gabe Amo holds a commanding 95% implied probability in the RI-01 general election market due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent’s 63% victory margin in 2024. Amo secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the September 9 primary, while Republican Kellie Keenan also advanced without opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the area’s consistent preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The November 3 contest features limited reported shifts in the past month. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusual national political realignment, though such factors have not emerged to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$36,140Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gabe Amo holds a commanding 95% implied probability in the RI-01 general election market due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent’s 63% victory margin in 2024. Amo secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the September 9 primary, while Republican Kellie Keenan also advanced without opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the area’s consistent preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The November 3 contest features limited reported shifts in the past month. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusual national political realignment, though such factors have not emerged to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$36,140Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Gabe Amo holds a commanding 95% implied probability in the RI-01 general election market due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent’s 63% victory margin in 2024. Amo secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the September 9 primary, while Republican Kellie Keenan also advanced without opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the area’s consistent preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The November 3 contest features limited reported shifts in the past month. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusual national political realignment, though such factors have not emerged to date.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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