Traders have converged on a 27°C low for Hong Kong on September 20 because official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded that minimum under clear, high-pressure conditions with light easterly winds and dew points near 25°C. Recent model runs from regional forecasts aligned closely with this value, showing limited overnight cooling typical for late-September subtropical nights. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this strong observational consensus, though an unexpected localized shower or instrument recalibration could introduce minor revision risk before final certification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 20 de setembro?
27°C 100.0%
22°C ou menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$27,337 Vol.
$27,337 Vol.
22°C ou menos
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Sim
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C ou mais
Não
27°C 100.0%
22°C ou menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$27,337 Vol.
$27,337 Vol.
22°C ou menos
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Sim
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Traders have converged on a 27°C low for Hong Kong on September 20 because official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded that minimum under clear, high-pressure conditions with light easterly winds and dew points near 25°C. Recent model runs from regional forecasts aligned closely with this value, showing limited overnight cooling typical for late-September subtropical nights. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this strong observational consensus, though an unexpected localized shower or instrument recalibration could introduce minor revision risk before final certification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions