Anthropic holds an overwhelming 79% implied probability for second place on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by end of September, driven by the July launch of Claude Opus 5, which quickly established state-of-the-art results on coding benchmarks such as Frontier-Bench, CursorBench, and SWE-bench variants while powering agentic workflows in Claude Code. Its combination of strong long-context handling, tool use, and cost-efficient performance has kept multiple Claude variants near the top of live web development evaluations, outpacing OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 series at 17%. Chinese labs like Moonshot and Alibaba show rising scores but trail in consistent agentic web dev tasks. Traders are pricing in continued Anthropic momentum ahead of the final leaderboard snapshot, with limited near-term catalysts expected to alter the ranking before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSecond-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?
Anthropic 78.6%
OpenAI 17.0%
Alibaba 3.3%
Moonshot 2.1%
$68,937 Wol.
$68,937 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
79%
OpenAI
17%
Alibaba
3%
Moonshot
2%
SpaceXAI
1%
Tencent
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Meta
<1%
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Poolside
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Anthropic 78.6%
OpenAI 17.0%
Alibaba 3.3%
Moonshot 2.1%
$68,937 Wol.
$68,937 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
$13,740 Wol.
79%
OpenAI
$8,032 Wol.
17%
Alibaba
$16,925 Wol.
3%
Moonshot
$12,101 Wol.
2%
SpaceXAI
$2,291 Wol.
1%
Tencent
$1,731 Wol.
<1%
Z.ai
$1,852 Wol.
<1%
Meta
$1,699 Wol.
<1%
$1,642 Wol.
<1%
ByteDance
$3,054 Wol.
<1%
MiniMax
$598 Wol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,468 Wol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$1,022 Wol.
<1%
Thinky
$617 Wol.
<1%
Poolside
$1,035 Wol.
<1%
Mistral
$1,130 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds an overwhelming 79% implied probability for second place on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by end of September, driven by the July launch of Claude Opus 5, which quickly established state-of-the-art results on coding benchmarks such as Frontier-Bench, CursorBench, and SWE-bench variants while powering agentic workflows in Claude Code. Its combination of strong long-context handling, tool use, and cost-efficient performance has kept multiple Claude variants near the top of live web development evaluations, outpacing OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 series at 17%. Chinese labs like Moonshot and Alibaba show rising scores but trail in consistent agentic web dev tasks. Traders are pricing in continued Anthropic momentum ahead of the final leaderboard snapshot, with limited near-term catalysts expected to alter the ranking before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Rynek otwarty: Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ET
Wolumen
$68,937Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labsRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds an overwhelming 79% implied probability for second place on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by end of September, driven by the July launch of Claude Opus 5, which quickly established state-of-the-art results on coding benchmarks such as Frontier-Bench, CursorBench, and SWE-bench variants while powering agentic workflows in Claude Code. Its combination of strong long-context handling, tool use, and cost-efficient performance has kept multiple Claude variants near the top of live web development evaluations, outpacing OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 series at 17%. Chinese labs like Moonshot and Alibaba show rising scores but trail in consistent agentic web dev tasks. Traders are pricing in continued Anthropic momentum ahead of the final leaderboard snapshot, with limited near-term catalysts expected to alter the ranking before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Wolumen
$68,937Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labsRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds an overwhelming 79% implied probability for second place on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by end of September, driven by the July launch of Claude Opus 5, which quickly established state-of-the-art results on coding benchmarks such as Frontier-Bench, CursorBench, and SWE-bench variants while powering agentic workflows in Claude Code. Its combination of strong long-context handling, tool use, and cost-efficient performance has kept multiple Claude variants near the top of live web development evaluations, outpacing OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 series at 17%. Chinese labs like Moonshot and Alibaba show rising scores but trail in consistent agentic web dev tasks. Traders are pricing in continued Anthropic momentum ahead of the final leaderboard snapshot, with limited near-term catalysts expected to alter the ranking before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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