Elon Musk’s X activity through the first six days of the September 4–11 window has positioned the 160-179 bracket as the clear market favorite at 50.5% implied probability, with 180-199 trailing at 31.5%. Real-time trackers show roughly 122 posts logged so far, reflecting a steady daily pace of commentary on Tesla developments, X advertising, regulatory topics, and platform dynamics rather than a major news-cycle spike. Historical weekly totals have fluctuated between sub-100 and 220-plus depending on Tesla news flow and public statements, yet the current rhythm aligns closely with the leading range. With one day remaining before resolution, traders are watching for any late surge in replies or quote posts that could push the final tally into the 180s.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano160-179 51%
180-199 32%
140-159 12.6%
200-219 6%
$1,256,698 Wol.
$1,256,698 Wol.
Sep 11, 2026
120-139
<1%
140-159
13%
160-179
51%
180-199
32%
200-219
6%
220-239
1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 51%
180-199 32%
140-159 12.6%
200-219 6%
$1,256,698 Wol.
$1,256,698 Wol.
Sep 11, 2026
120-139
$177,100 Wol.
<1%
140-159
$149,255 Wol.
13%
160-179
$67,976 Wol.
51%
180-199
$59,968 Wol.
32%
200-219
$71,738 Wol.
6%
220-239
$64,888 Wol.
1%
240-259
$56,085 Wol.
<1%
260-279
$56,153 Wol.
<1%
280-299
$60,441 Wol.
<1%
300-319
$64,181 Wol.
<1%
320-339
$54,312 Wol.
<1%
340-359
$35,431 Wol.
<1%
360-379
$24,743 Wol.
<1%
380-399
$28,036 Wol.
<1%
400-419
$23,030 Wol.
<1%
420-439
$14,382 Wol.
<1%
440-459
$6,236 Wol.
<1%
460-479
$7,410 Wol.
<1%
480-499
$6,988 Wol.
<1%
500+
$54,827 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s X activity through the first six days of the September 4–11 window has positioned the 160-179 bracket as the clear market favorite at 50.5% implied probability, with 180-199 trailing at 31.5%. Real-time trackers show roughly 122 posts logged so far, reflecting a steady daily pace of commentary on Tesla developments, X advertising, regulatory topics, and platform dynamics rather than a major news-cycle spike. Historical weekly totals have fluctuated between sub-100 and 220-plus depending on Tesla news flow and public statements, yet the current rhythm aligns closely with the leading range. With one day remaining before resolution, traders are watching for any late surge in replies or quote posts that could push the final tally into the 180s.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,256,698Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s X activity through the first six days of the September 4–11 window has positioned the 160-179 bracket as the clear market favorite at 50.5% implied probability, with 180-199 trailing at 31.5%. Real-time trackers show roughly 122 posts logged so far, reflecting a steady daily pace of commentary on Tesla developments, X advertising, regulatory topics, and platform dynamics rather than a major news-cycle spike. Historical weekly totals have fluctuated between sub-100 and 220-plus depending on Tesla news flow and public statements, yet the current rhythm aligns closely with the leading range. With one day remaining before resolution, traders are watching for any late surge in replies or quote posts that could push the final tally into the 180s.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Wolumen
$1,256,698Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s X activity through the first six days of the September 4–11 window has positioned the 160-179 bracket as the clear market favorite at 50.5% implied probability, with 180-199 trailing at 31.5%. Real-time trackers show roughly 122 posts logged so far, reflecting a steady daily pace of commentary on Tesla developments, X advertising, regulatory topics, and platform dynamics rather than a major news-cycle spike. Historical weekly totals have fluctuated between sub-100 and 220-plus depending on Tesla news flow and public statements, yet the current rhythm aligns closely with the leading range. With one day remaining before resolution, traders are watching for any late surge in replies or quote posts that could push the final tally into the 180s.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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