The Unity party, formed in August 2026 by former Likud figures Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein to promote a broad Zionist coalition, has shown negligible support in recent polling for the October 27 Knesset election. Multiple surveys from early September placed it at or below 1-2% of the vote, often failing to approach the 3.25% electoral threshold, amid fragmentation in the center-right space and stronger showings by parties such as Yashar and Together. The party formally withdrew its candidate list on September 4, ahead of the submission deadline, effectively removing it from contention. Trader consensus reflects these developments, with the sub-0.5% bracket holding overwhelming probability. Shifts could occur only through an unforeseen reversal of the withdrawal or late legal maneuvers restoring ballot access, though neither appears probable based on current procedural status.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano<0.5% 94.4%
0.5-0.75% 1.1%
0.75-1% <1%
1-2% <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
<0.5%
94%
0.5-0.75%
1%
0.75-1%
1%
1-2%
1%
2%+
<1%
<0.5% 94.4%
0.5-0.75% 1.1%
0.75-1% <1%
1-2% <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
<0.5%
$534 Wol.
94%
0.5-0.75%
$162 Wol.
1%
0.75-1%
$109 Wol.
1%
1-2%
$112 Wol.
1%
2%+
$176 Wol.
<1%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).The Unity party, formed in August 2026 by former Likud figures Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein to promote a broad Zionist coalition, has shown negligible support in recent polling for the October 27 Knesset election. Multiple surveys from early September placed it at or below 1-2% of the vote, often failing to approach the 3.25% electoral threshold, amid fragmentation in the center-right space and stronger showings by parties such as Yashar and Together. The party formally withdrew its candidate list on September 4, ahead of the submission deadline, effectively removing it from contention. Trader consensus reflects these developments, with the sub-0.5% bracket holding overwhelming probability. Shifts could occur only through an unforeseen reversal of the withdrawal or late legal maneuvers restoring ballot access, though neither appears probable based on current procedural status.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,093Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).The Unity party, formed in August 2026 by former Likud figures Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein to promote a broad Zionist coalition, has shown negligible support in recent polling for the October 27 Knesset election. Multiple surveys from early September placed it at or below 1-2% of the vote, often failing to approach the 3.25% electoral threshold, amid fragmentation in the center-right space and stronger showings by parties such as Yashar and Together. The party formally withdrew its candidate list on September 4, ahead of the submission deadline, effectively removing it from contention. Trader consensus reflects these developments, with the sub-0.5% bracket holding overwhelming probability. Shifts could occur only through an unforeseen reversal of the withdrawal or late legal maneuvers restoring ballot access, though neither appears probable based on current procedural status.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Wolumen
$1,093Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Unity party, formed in August 2026 by former Likud figures Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein to promote a broad Zionist coalition, has shown negligible support in recent polling for the October 27 Knesset election. Multiple surveys from early September placed it at or below 1-2% of the vote, often failing to approach the 3.25% electoral threshold, amid fragmentation in the center-right space and stronger showings by parties such as Yashar and Together. The party formally withdrew its candidate list on September 4, ahead of the submission deadline, effectively removing it from contention. Trader consensus reflects these developments, with the sub-0.5% bracket holding overwhelming probability. Shifts could occur only through an unforeseen reversal of the withdrawal or late legal maneuvers restoring ballot access, though neither appears probable based on current procedural status.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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