Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a strong position in New York’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflected in the 72% trader consensus. LaLota’s advantages include substantial fundraising with over $3.3 million cash on hand, prior victories by double-digit margins, and endorsements such as from former President Trump. Democrat Chris Gallant, who secured the nomination with 63% in the June primary, brings a military and public-service background but trails significantly in resources at roughly $172,000 cash on hand. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, underscoring the district’s partisan lean on eastern Long Island and limited recent polling shifts that have kept the implied probability stable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNY-01 House Election Winner
NY-01 House Election Winner
$42,372 Wol.
$42,372 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Nick LaLota (R)
72%
Chris Gallant (D)
27%
$42,372 Wol.
$42,372 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Nick LaLota (R)
$16,306 Wol.
72%
Chris Gallant (D)
$26,065 Wol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a strong position in New York’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflected in the 72% trader consensus. LaLota’s advantages include substantial fundraising with over $3.3 million cash on hand, prior victories by double-digit margins, and endorsements such as from former President Trump. Democrat Chris Gallant, who secured the nomination with 63% in the June primary, brings a military and public-service background but trails significantly in resources at roughly $172,000 cash on hand. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, underscoring the district’s partisan lean on eastern Long Island and limited recent polling shifts that have kept the implied probability stable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Wolumen
$42,372Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a strong position in New York’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflected in the 72% trader consensus. LaLota’s advantages include substantial fundraising with over $3.3 million cash on hand, prior victories by double-digit margins, and endorsements such as from former President Trump. Democrat Chris Gallant, who secured the nomination with 63% in the June primary, brings a military and public-service background but trails significantly in resources at roughly $172,000 cash on hand. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, underscoring the district’s partisan lean on eastern Long Island and limited recent polling shifts that have kept the implied probability stable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$42,372Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a strong position in New York’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflected in the 72% trader consensus. LaLota’s advantages include substantial fundraising with over $3.3 million cash on hand, prior victories by double-digit margins, and endorsements such as from former President Trump. Democrat Chris Gallant, who secured the nomination with 63% in the June primary, brings a military and public-service background but trails significantly in resources at roughly $172,000 cash on hand. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, underscoring the district’s partisan lean on eastern Long Island and limited recent polling shifts that have kept the implied probability stable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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