Incumbent Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York's 2nd congressional district, which leans Republican based on recent voting patterns and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe for the GOP. Garbarino advanced unopposed through the Republican primary in June 2026, while Democrat Patrick Halpin, a former Suffolk County executive, similarly cleared the Democratic primary without opposition. Garbarino maintains a significant fundraising edge and benefits from incumbency advantages in a district covering parts of Suffolk and Nassau counties. A July dispute over federal disaster aid for a blizzard drew criticism from Halpin but produced no measurable shift in trader assessments ahead of the November 3 general election. These factors align with the market's heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNY-02 House Election Winner
NY-02 House Election Winner
$17,705 Wol.
$17,705 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Andrew Garbarino (R)
87%
Patrick Halpin (D)
14%
$17,705 Wol.
$17,705 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Andrew Garbarino (R)
$7,164 Wol.
87%
Patrick Halpin (D)
$10,541 Wol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York's 2nd congressional district, which leans Republican based on recent voting patterns and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe for the GOP. Garbarino advanced unopposed through the Republican primary in June 2026, while Democrat Patrick Halpin, a former Suffolk County executive, similarly cleared the Democratic primary without opposition. Garbarino maintains a significant fundraising edge and benefits from incumbency advantages in a district covering parts of Suffolk and Nassau counties. A July dispute over federal disaster aid for a blizzard drew criticism from Halpin but produced no measurable shift in trader assessments ahead of the November 3 general election. These factors align with the market's heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Wolumen
$17,705Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York's 2nd congressional district, which leans Republican based on recent voting patterns and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe for the GOP. Garbarino advanced unopposed through the Republican primary in June 2026, while Democrat Patrick Halpin, a former Suffolk County executive, similarly cleared the Democratic primary without opposition. Garbarino maintains a significant fundraising edge and benefits from incumbency advantages in a district covering parts of Suffolk and Nassau counties. A July dispute over federal disaster aid for a blizzard drew criticism from Halpin but produced no measurable shift in trader assessments ahead of the November 3 general election. These factors align with the market's heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$17,705Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York's 2nd congressional district, which leans Republican based on recent voting patterns and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe for the GOP. Garbarino advanced unopposed through the Republican primary in June 2026, while Democrat Patrick Halpin, a former Suffolk County executive, similarly cleared the Democratic primary without opposition. Garbarino maintains a significant fundraising edge and benefits from incumbency advantages in a district covering parts of Suffolk and Nassau counties. A July dispute over federal disaster aid for a blizzard drew criticism from Halpin but produced no measurable shift in trader assessments ahead of the November 3 general election. These factors align with the market's heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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