**Z.ai (formerly Zhipu AI) maintains a rapid GLM release cadence, with GLM-5 in February 2026, GLM-5.1 in April, GLM-5.2 in June, GLM-5.3 on August 14, and GLM-5.3-Flash on August 26.** The latest flagship uses the same ~743B-parameter MoE base as its predecessor but delivers gains through scaled post-training, including a reported 50% jump on Z.ai Code Bench, stronger agentic coding, long-horizon tasks, and emergent cybersecurity capabilities such as vulnerability discovery. Trader sentiment for a GLM 5.4+ release by late October reflects this ~1–2 month iteration pattern, reinforced by ongoing work on multimodal architectures, hybrid attention, Chinese-chip inference at scale, and efficiency improvements. No official announcement or preview of 5.4 exists yet, but markets price an 85–89% chance of a qualifying public release (API or weights) by October 31 versus lower odds for September 30, consistent with historical timing and the lab’s focus on closing gaps with closed-source models on coding and agent benchmarks. Key near-term catalysts include any technical blog posts, benchmark releases, or safety-review updates on open weights, which have previously preceded broader availability. The absence of confirmed delays or major shifts in development priorities supports the current market-implied timeline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNext Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?
$18,535 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
25%
October 31
86%
$18,535 Wol.
September 30
$10,979 Wol.
25%
October 31
$7,051 Wol.
86%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's next GLM model (5.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**Z.ai (formerly Zhipu AI) maintains a rapid GLM release cadence, with GLM-5 in February 2026, GLM-5.1 in April, GLM-5.2 in June, GLM-5.3 on August 14, and GLM-5.3-Flash on August 26.** The latest flagship uses the same ~743B-parameter MoE base as its predecessor but delivers gains through scaled post-training, including a reported 50% jump on Z.ai Code Bench, stronger agentic coding, long-horizon tasks, and emergent cybersecurity capabilities such as vulnerability discovery.
Trader sentiment for a GLM 5.4+ release by late October reflects this ~1–2 month iteration pattern, reinforced by ongoing work on multimodal architectures, hybrid attention, Chinese-chip inference at scale, and efficiency improvements. No official announcement or preview of 5.4 exists yet, but markets price an 85–89% chance of a qualifying public release (API or weights) by October 31 versus lower odds for September 30, consistent with historical timing and the lab’s focus on closing gaps with closed-source models on coding and agent benchmarks.
Key near-term catalysts include any technical blog posts, benchmark releases, or safety-review updates on open weights, which have previously preceded broader availability. The absence of confirmed delays or major shifts in development priorities supports the current market-implied timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's next GLM model (5.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Wolumen
$18,535Data zakończenia
Nov 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 5:49 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's next GLM model (5.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**Z.ai (formerly Zhipu AI) maintains a rapid GLM release cadence, with GLM-5 in February 2026, GLM-5.1 in April, GLM-5.2 in June, GLM-5.3 on August 14, and GLM-5.3-Flash on August 26.** The latest flagship uses the same ~743B-parameter MoE base as its predecessor but delivers gains through scaled post-training, including a reported 50% jump on Z.ai Code Bench, stronger agentic coding, long-horizon tasks, and emergent cybersecurity capabilities such as vulnerability discovery.
Trader sentiment for a GLM 5.4+ release by late October reflects this ~1–2 month iteration pattern, reinforced by ongoing work on multimodal architectures, hybrid attention, Chinese-chip inference at scale, and efficiency improvements. No official announcement or preview of 5.4 exists yet, but markets price an 85–89% chance of a qualifying public release (API or weights) by October 31 versus lower odds for September 30, consistent with historical timing and the lab’s focus on closing gaps with closed-source models on coding and agent benchmarks.
Key near-term catalysts include any technical blog posts, benchmark releases, or safety-review updates on open weights, which have previously preceded broader availability. The absence of confirmed delays or major shifts in development priorities supports the current market-implied timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's next GLM model (5.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$18,535Data zakończenia
Nov 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 5:49 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...**Z.ai (formerly Zhipu AI) maintains a rapid GLM release cadence, with GLM-5 in February 2026, GLM-5.1 in April, GLM-5.2 in June, GLM-5.3 on August 14, and GLM-5.3-Flash on August 26.** The latest flagship uses the same ~743B-parameter MoE base as its predecessor but delivers gains through scaled post-training, including a reported 50% jump on Z.ai Code Bench, stronger agentic coding, long-horizon tasks, and emergent cybersecurity capabilities such as vulnerability discovery. Trader sentiment for a GLM 5.4+ release by late October reflects this ~1–2 month iteration pattern, reinforced by ongoing work on multimodal architectures, hybrid attention, Chinese-chip inference at scale, and efficiency improvements. No official announcement or preview of 5.4 exists yet, but markets price an 85–89% chance of a qualifying public release (API or weights) by October 31 versus lower odds for September 30, consistent with historical timing and the lab’s focus on closing gaps with closed-source models on coding and agent benchmarks. Key near-term catalysts include any technical blog posts, benchmark releases, or safety-review updates on open weights, which have previously preceded broader availability. The absence of confirmed delays or major shifts in development priorities supports the current market-implied timeline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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