**Trader consensus heavily favors no Gemini Pro release by September 30 (89% implied probability), reflecting Google’s recent pattern of iterative Flash and Live model updates rather than flagship Pro launches.** As of September 21, 2026, Google has shipped Gemini 3.8 Flash and 3.8 Flash Cyber in early September plus Gemini 3.8 Live variants on September 15, focusing on efficiency, voice agents, and specialized tasks. These align with a monthly cadence on lighter models while the next major Pro iteration—potentially Gemini 3.5 Pro or early Gemini 4 Pro—remains in testing or pre-training, with credible reporting pointing to an October window. Historical delays on 3.5 Pro (originally targeted for June/July) and the absence of any official September Pro announcements reinforce the market’s strong lean against a late-month release. Key near-term catalysts include any I/O follow-ups or partner testing updates that could shift timelines.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNext Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by September 30 91%
September 24 3.4%
September 30 3.3%
September 22 3.1%
$117,433 Wol.
$117,433 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 20
1%
September 21
2%
September 22
3%
September 23
3%
September 24
3%
September 25
1%
September 26
1%
September 27
1%
September 28
<1%
September 29
3%
September 30
3%
No release by September 30
91%
No release by September 30 91%
September 24 3.4%
September 30 3.3%
September 22 3.1%
$117,433 Wol.
$117,433 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 20
$312 Wol.
1%
September 21
$562 Wol.
2%
September 22
$594 Wol.
3%
September 23
$479 Wol.
3%
September 24
$604 Wol.
3%
September 25
$308 Wol.
1%
September 26
$310 Wol.
1%
September 27
$312 Wol.
1%
September 28
$527 Wol.
<1%
September 29
$538 Wol.
3%
September 30
$888 Wol.
3%
No release by September 30
$101,863 Wol.
91%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**Trader consensus heavily favors no Gemini Pro release by September 30 (89% implied probability), reflecting Google’s recent pattern of iterative Flash and Live model updates rather than flagship Pro launches.**
As of September 21, 2026, Google has shipped Gemini 3.8 Flash and 3.8 Flash Cyber in early September plus Gemini 3.8 Live variants on September 15, focusing on efficiency, voice agents, and specialized tasks. These align with a monthly cadence on lighter models while the next major Pro iteration—potentially Gemini 3.5 Pro or early Gemini 4 Pro—remains in testing or pre-training, with credible reporting pointing to an October window. Historical delays on 3.5 Pro (originally targeted for June/July) and the absence of any official September Pro announcements reinforce the market’s strong lean against a late-month release. Key near-term catalysts include any I/O follow-ups or partner testing updates that could shift timelines.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Wolumen
$117,433Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**Trader consensus heavily favors no Gemini Pro release by September 30 (89% implied probability), reflecting Google’s recent pattern of iterative Flash and Live model updates rather than flagship Pro launches.**
As of September 21, 2026, Google has shipped Gemini 3.8 Flash and 3.8 Flash Cyber in early September plus Gemini 3.8 Live variants on September 15, focusing on efficiency, voice agents, and specialized tasks. These align with a monthly cadence on lighter models while the next major Pro iteration—potentially Gemini 3.5 Pro or early Gemini 4 Pro—remains in testing or pre-training, with credible reporting pointing to an October window. Historical delays on 3.5 Pro (originally targeted for June/July) and the absence of any official September Pro announcements reinforce the market’s strong lean against a late-month release. Key near-term catalysts include any I/O follow-ups or partner testing updates that could shift timelines.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$117,433Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors no Gemini Pro release by September 30 (89% implied probability), reflecting Google’s recent pattern of iterative Flash and Live model updates rather than flagship Pro launches.** As of September 21, 2026, Google has shipped Gemini 3.8 Flash and 3.8 Flash Cyber in early September plus Gemini 3.8 Live variants on September 15, focusing on efficiency, voice agents, and specialized tasks. These align with a monthly cadence on lighter models while the next major Pro iteration—potentially Gemini 3.5 Pro or early Gemini 4 Pro—remains in testing or pre-training, with credible reporting pointing to an October window. Historical delays on 3.5 Pro (originally targeted for June/July) and the absence of any official September Pro announcements reinforce the market’s strong lean against a late-month release. Key near-term catalysts include any I/O follow-ups or partner testing updates that could shift timelines.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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