**The tight trader consensus between the 1.2M-1.3M and 1.3M-1.4M bands stems from Connecticut’s recent off-year gubernatorial turnout patterns, which have produced roughly 1.3 million ballots in comparable cycles.** With incumbent Democrat Ned Lamont maintaining a double-digit polling lead over Republican Ryan Fazio in a race rated Solid Democratic, mobilization incentives remain moderate for both parties ahead of the November 3 contest. Roughly 2.35 million voters are registered, including a large independent share that often decides participation levels. A new state Voter Participation Task Force began work in mid-September on long-term turnout goals, but near-term effects on this election appear limited. Historical benchmarks from 2022 and similar midterms, combined with the absence of major late-breaking catalysts, keep probabilities closely balanced between the two leading outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano1.2M-1.3M 44%
1.3M-1.4M 42%
1.4M-1.5M 6%
1.1M-1.2M 5.4%
<1M
<1%
1M-1.1M
2%
1.1M-1.2M
5%
1.2M-1.3M
44%
1.3M-1.4M
42%
1.4M-1.5M
6%
1.5M-1.6M
4%
1.6M+
<1%
1.2M-1.3M 44%
1.3M-1.4M 42%
1.4M-1.5M 6%
1.1M-1.2M 5.4%
<1M
<1%
1M-1.1M
2%
1.1M-1.2M
5%
1.2M-1.3M
44%
1.3M-1.4M
42%
1.4M-1.5M
6%
1.5M-1.6M
4%
1.6M+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 18, 2026, 10:07 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**The tight trader consensus between the 1.2M-1.3M and 1.3M-1.4M bands stems from Connecticut’s recent off-year gubernatorial turnout patterns, which have produced roughly 1.3 million ballots in comparable cycles.** With incumbent Democrat Ned Lamont maintaining a double-digit polling lead over Republican Ryan Fazio in a race rated Solid Democratic, mobilization incentives remain moderate for both parties ahead of the November 3 contest. Roughly 2.35 million voters are registered, including a large independent share that often decides participation levels. A new state Voter Participation Task Force began work in mid-September on long-term turnout goals, but near-term effects on this election appear limited. Historical benchmarks from 2022 and similar midterms, combined with the absence of major late-breaking catalysts, keep probabilities closely balanced between the two leading outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPowiązane
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 6,000,000 and 6,500,000?
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 300,000 and 325,000?
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 13,000,000 and 13,500,000?
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania