The district's R+10 Partisan Voter Index and incumbent Mark Harris's unopposed Republican primary victory underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 91.5%. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. Colby Watson's Democratic primary win has not shifted the outlook, with no competitive polling or major endorsements altering the baseline. Late developments such as a national partisan wave, candidate-specific scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors would still require significant movement to threaten the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNC-08 House Election Winner
NC-08 House Election Winner
$23,767 Wol.
$23,767 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mark Harris (R)
92%
Colby Watson (D)
9%
$23,767 Wol.
$23,767 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mark Harris (R)
$9,559 Wol.
92%
Colby Watson (D)
$14,208 Wol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's R+10 Partisan Voter Index and incumbent Mark Harris's unopposed Republican primary victory underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 91.5%. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. Colby Watson's Democratic primary win has not shifted the outlook, with no competitive polling or major endorsements altering the baseline. Late developments such as a national partisan wave, candidate-specific scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors would still require significant movement to threaten the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$23,767Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's R+10 Partisan Voter Index and incumbent Mark Harris's unopposed Republican primary victory underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 91.5%. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. Colby Watson's Democratic primary win has not shifted the outlook, with no competitive polling or major endorsements altering the baseline. Late developments such as a national partisan wave, candidate-specific scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors would still require significant movement to threaten the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$23,767Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...The district's R+10 Partisan Voter Index and incumbent Mark Harris's unopposed Republican primary victory underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 91.5%. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. Colby Watson's Democratic primary win has not shifted the outlook, with no competitive polling or major endorsements altering the baseline. Late developments such as a national partisan wave, candidate-specific scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors would still require significant movement to threaten the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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