The district's strong Republican lean, evidenced by Donald Trump's 20-point margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring Anthony Constantino at 75.5% to defeat Democrat Blake Gendebien. Constantino secured the GOP nomination in the June primary with nearly 59% of the vote, aided by Trump's endorsement and substantial self-funding as Sticker Mule CEO, while Gendebien won his primary decisively. Recent August polling showed mixed results, with one survey giving Constantino a double-digit lead and another a narrow Democratic edge, yet the open seat left by Elise Stefanik's retirement has not altered the structural GOP advantage. Upcoming November general election dynamics, including turnout and any late campaign shifts, remain key variables for probability adjustments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNY-21 House Election Winner
NY-21 House Election Winner
$69,401 Wol.
$69,401 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Anthony Constantino (R)
76%
Blake Gendebien (D)
23%
$69,401 Wol.
$69,401 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Anthony Constantino (R)
$34,772 Wol.
76%
Blake Gendebien (D)
$34,630 Wol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Republican lean, evidenced by Donald Trump's 20-point margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring Anthony Constantino at 75.5% to defeat Democrat Blake Gendebien. Constantino secured the GOP nomination in the June primary with nearly 59% of the vote, aided by Trump's endorsement and substantial self-funding as Sticker Mule CEO, while Gendebien won his primary decisively. Recent August polling showed mixed results, with one survey giving Constantino a double-digit lead and another a narrow Democratic edge, yet the open seat left by Elise Stefanik's retirement has not altered the structural GOP advantage. Upcoming November general election dynamics, including turnout and any late campaign shifts, remain key variables for probability adjustments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$69,401Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Republican lean, evidenced by Donald Trump's 20-point margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring Anthony Constantino at 75.5% to defeat Democrat Blake Gendebien. Constantino secured the GOP nomination in the June primary with nearly 59% of the vote, aided by Trump's endorsement and substantial self-funding as Sticker Mule CEO, while Gendebien won his primary decisively. Recent August polling showed mixed results, with one survey giving Constantino a double-digit lead and another a narrow Democratic edge, yet the open seat left by Elise Stefanik's retirement has not altered the structural GOP advantage. Upcoming November general election dynamics, including turnout and any late campaign shifts, remain key variables for probability adjustments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$69,401Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Republican lean, evidenced by Donald Trump's 20-point margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring Anthony Constantino at 75.5% to defeat Democrat Blake Gendebien. Constantino secured the GOP nomination in the June primary with nearly 59% of the vote, aided by Trump's endorsement and substantial self-funding as Sticker Mule CEO, while Gendebien won his primary decisively. Recent August polling showed mixed results, with one survey giving Constantino a double-digit lead and another a narrow Democratic edge, yet the open seat left by Elise Stefanik's retirement has not altered the structural GOP advantage. Upcoming November general election dynamics, including turnout and any late campaign shifts, remain key variables for probability adjustments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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