Isabelle Blais of the Parti Québécois leads trader pricing at 69.5% for the Maskinongé seat in Quebec’s October 5 general election, ahead of incumbent Simon Allaire of the Coalition Avenir Québec at 31.5%, with other candidates below 2%. Recent provincial polling and local projections released in mid-September show the PQ ahead in the riding on first-preference support near 36%, reversing the CAQ’s 53.5% result from 2022. The campaign opened August 27 after Allaire reversed an earlier retirement decision to run again for the CAQ, while Blais secured the PQ nomination in April and benefits from name recognition as a regional actress. Advance voting begins September 27, and the first-past-the-post outcome will be determined by official results from Elections Québec.