Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race, backed by the state's long Republican dominance and his primary victory over minimal opposition. Democrat Adam Hamilton, a prominent pastor who prevailed in a crowded August primary, has drawn attention through fundraising and a September 12 debate at the Kansas State Fair, where a vocal crowd challenged Marshall on agriculture policy, tariffs, immigration, and his alignment with President Trump. Recent polls show a narrower contest than historical patterns suggest, yet trader consensus on prediction markets continues to price in Marshall's advantages from incumbency, party registration edges, and limited Democratic success in statewide contests since the 1930s. Upcoming campaign events through November could influence turnout dynamics in this likely Republican hold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoKansas Senate Election Winner
Kansas Senate Election Winner
$50,659 Wol.
$50,659 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Roger Marshall (R)
80%
Adam Hamilton (D)
22%
$50,659 Wol.
$50,659 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Roger Marshall (R)
$32,667 Wol.
80%
Adam Hamilton (D)
$17,992 Wol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race, backed by the state's long Republican dominance and his primary victory over minimal opposition. Democrat Adam Hamilton, a prominent pastor who prevailed in a crowded August primary, has drawn attention through fundraising and a September 12 debate at the Kansas State Fair, where a vocal crowd challenged Marshall on agriculture policy, tariffs, immigration, and his alignment with President Trump. Recent polls show a narrower contest than historical patterns suggest, yet trader consensus on prediction markets continues to price in Marshall's advantages from incumbency, party registration edges, and limited Democratic success in statewide contests since the 1930s. Upcoming campaign events through November could influence turnout dynamics in this likely Republican hold.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Wolumen
$50,659Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race, backed by the state's long Republican dominance and his primary victory over minimal opposition. Democrat Adam Hamilton, a prominent pastor who prevailed in a crowded August primary, has drawn attention through fundraising and a September 12 debate at the Kansas State Fair, where a vocal crowd challenged Marshall on agriculture policy, tariffs, immigration, and his alignment with President Trump. Recent polls show a narrower contest than historical patterns suggest, yet trader consensus on prediction markets continues to price in Marshall's advantages from incumbency, party registration edges, and limited Democratic success in statewide contests since the 1930s. Upcoming campaign events through November could influence turnout dynamics in this likely Republican hold.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Wolumen
$50,659Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race, backed by the state's long Republican dominance and his primary victory over minimal opposition. Democrat Adam Hamilton, a prominent pastor who prevailed in a crowded August primary, has drawn attention through fundraising and a September 12 debate at the Kansas State Fair, where a vocal crowd challenged Marshall on agriculture policy, tariffs, immigration, and his alignment with President Trump. Recent polls show a narrower contest than historical patterns suggest, yet trader consensus on prediction markets continues to price in Marshall's advantages from incumbency, party registration edges, and limited Democratic success in statewide contests since the 1930s. Upcoming campaign events through November could influence turnout dynamics in this likely Republican hold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania