Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’ 2nd Congressional District in the March 2026 primary with 40.4% of the vote in a crowded field that included former U.S. Representative Jesse Jackson Jr. The open seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Robin Kelly, lies in a district with a consistent Democratic voting history and partisan lean exceeding D+18. Republican nominee Michael Noack, a truck driver, ran unopposed in his primary but has reported no meaningful fundraising. These elements have produced overwhelming trader consensus on Miller’s general-election prospects ahead of the November 3 contest. Late developments capable of narrowing the margin would require an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political shift strong enough to overcome the district’s structural Democratic advantage.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIL-02 House Election Winner
IL-02 House Election Winner
$33,686 Wol.
$33,686 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Donna Miller (D)
97%
Michael Noack (R)
1%
$33,686 Wol.
$33,686 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Donna Miller (D)
$14,437 Wol.
97%
Michael Noack (R)
$19,249 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’ 2nd Congressional District in the March 2026 primary with 40.4% of the vote in a crowded field that included former U.S. Representative Jesse Jackson Jr. The open seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Robin Kelly, lies in a district with a consistent Democratic voting history and partisan lean exceeding D+18. Republican nominee Michael Noack, a truck driver, ran unopposed in his primary but has reported no meaningful fundraising. These elements have produced overwhelming trader consensus on Miller’s general-election prospects ahead of the November 3 contest. Late developments capable of narrowing the margin would require an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political shift strong enough to overcome the district’s structural Democratic advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Wolumen
$33,686Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’ 2nd Congressional District in the March 2026 primary with 40.4% of the vote in a crowded field that included former U.S. Representative Jesse Jackson Jr. The open seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Robin Kelly, lies in a district with a consistent Democratic voting history and partisan lean exceeding D+18. Republican nominee Michael Noack, a truck driver, ran unopposed in his primary but has reported no meaningful fundraising. These elements have produced overwhelming trader consensus on Miller’s general-election prospects ahead of the November 3 contest. Late developments capable of narrowing the margin would require an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political shift strong enough to overcome the district’s structural Democratic advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$33,686Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’ 2nd Congressional District in the March 2026 primary with 40.4% of the vote in a crowded field that included former U.S. Representative Jesse Jackson Jr. The open seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Robin Kelly, lies in a district with a consistent Democratic voting history and partisan lean exceeding D+18. Republican nominee Michael Noack, a truck driver, ran unopposed in his primary but has reported no meaningful fundraising. These elements have produced overwhelming trader consensus on Miller’s general-election prospects ahead of the November 3 contest. Late developments capable of narrowing the margin would require an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political shift strong enough to overcome the district’s structural Democratic advantage.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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