Elevated inflation and the July FOMC's 9-3 vote—with three hawkish dissents from Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan favoring an immediate 25 basis point hike—anchor trader expectations for three or more dissents at the September 15-16 meeting. Persistent PCE readings near 3.7% year-over-year, core measures above 3.3%, and oil prices above $100 amid Middle East supply risks sustain policy divisions, even as the labor market remains stable with unemployment near 4.1-4.3%. Recent comments from Governor Waller, open to holding if upcoming data cool or hiking otherwise, underscore the data-dependent outlook ahead of the September 11 CPI release. Market-implied odds embed uncertainty over whether additional regional presidents align with the hawkish bloc or if fresh disinflation signals narrow the split.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow many dissent at the September Fed meeting?
3 31%
4+ 29%
0 14%
1 14%
$23,959 Wol.
$23,959 Wol.
0
14%
1
14%
2
11%
3
31%
4+
29%
3 31%
4+ 29%
0 14%
1 14%
$23,959 Wol.
$23,959 Wol.
0
14%
1
14%
2
11%
3
31%
4+
29%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Elevated inflation and the July FOMC's 9-3 vote—with three hawkish dissents from Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan favoring an immediate 25 basis point hike—anchor trader expectations for three or more dissents at the September 15-16 meeting. Persistent PCE readings near 3.7% year-over-year, core measures above 3.3%, and oil prices above $100 amid Middle East supply risks sustain policy divisions, even as the labor market remains stable with unemployment near 4.1-4.3%. Recent comments from Governor Waller, open to holding if upcoming data cool or hiking otherwise, underscore the data-dependent outlook ahead of the September 11 CPI release. Market-implied odds embed uncertainty over whether additional regional presidents align with the hawkish bloc or if fresh disinflation signals narrow the split.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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