Waymo’s rapid 2026 rollout, which added paid public driverless service in Denver, San Diego, and Tampa on September 1 before launching in Las Vegas on September 14 to reach 15 U.S. markets, underpins trader consensus around the <12 and 12-15 buckets for year-end city count. The company’s fleet exceeds 4,000 vehicles with weekly rides above 500,000, supported by next-generation Ojai minivans and permits such as Nevada’s August approval, yet further expansion hinges on additional regulatory clearances, mapping timelines, and operational ramp-up that historically require months per market. Upcoming catalysts include potential London or other international entries and any new state-level approvals, though scaling constraints and the compressed timeline to December 31 limit the likelihood of crossing into the 16+ range implied by current market odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
<12 61.5%
12-15 31.3%
16-19 7%
24-27 <1%
$124,909 Wol.
$124,909 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
<12
62%
12-15
31%
16-19
7%
20-23
<1%
24-27
<1%
28-31
<1%
32+
<1%
<12 61.5%
12-15 31.3%
16-19 7%
24-27 <1%
$124,909 Wol.
$124,909 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
<12
$17,384 Wol.
62%
12-15
$40,111 Wol.
31%
16-19
$24,998 Wol.
7%
20-23
$16,708 Wol.
<1%
24-27
$14,029 Wol.
<1%
28-31
$6,481 Wol.
<1%
32+
$5,199 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s rapid 2026 rollout, which added paid public driverless service in Denver, San Diego, and Tampa on September 1 before launching in Las Vegas on September 14 to reach 15 U.S. markets, underpins trader consensus around the <12 and 12-15 buckets for year-end city count. The company’s fleet exceeds 4,000 vehicles with weekly rides above 500,000, supported by next-generation Ojai minivans and permits such as Nevada’s August approval, yet further expansion hinges on additional regulatory clearances, mapping timelines, and operational ramp-up that historically require months per market. Upcoming catalysts include potential London or other international entries and any new state-level approvals, though scaling constraints and the compressed timeline to December 31 limit the likelihood of crossing into the 16+ range implied by current market odds.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Wolumen
$124,909Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s rapid 2026 rollout, which added paid public driverless service in Denver, San Diego, and Tampa on September 1 before launching in Las Vegas on September 14 to reach 15 U.S. markets, underpins trader consensus around the <12 and 12-15 buckets for year-end city count. The company’s fleet exceeds 4,000 vehicles with weekly rides above 500,000, supported by next-generation Ojai minivans and permits such as Nevada’s August approval, yet further expansion hinges on additional regulatory clearances, mapping timelines, and operational ramp-up that historically require months per market. Upcoming catalysts include potential London or other international entries and any new state-level approvals, though scaling constraints and the compressed timeline to December 31 limit the likelihood of crossing into the 16+ range implied by current market odds.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$124,909Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Waymo’s rapid 2026 rollout, which added paid public driverless service in Denver, San Diego, and Tampa on September 1 before launching in Las Vegas on September 14 to reach 15 U.S. markets, underpins trader consensus around the <12 and 12-15 buckets for year-end city count. The company’s fleet exceeds 4,000 vehicles with weekly rides above 500,000, supported by next-generation Ojai minivans and permits such as Nevada’s August approval, yet further expansion hinges on additional regulatory clearances, mapping timelines, and operational ramp-up that historically require months per market. Upcoming catalysts include potential London or other international entries and any new state-level approvals, though scaling constraints and the compressed timeline to December 31 limit the likelihood of crossing into the 16+ range implied by current market odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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