Recent Kremlin statements from aides Yuri Ushakov and Dmitry Peskov indicate that a trilateral Trump-Putin-Xi meeting has been discussed during bilateral talks and a Putin-Trump phone call, with Shenzhen, China, emerging as the leading venue during the November 18-19 APEC summit. This development, tied to ongoing Ukraine diplomacy involving U.S. envoys and broader U.S.-China stabilization efforts, underpins trader consensus around a China-hosted encounter. Uncertainty persists over U.S. confirmation of Trump’s APEC attendance and the pace of Russia-related negotiations, supporting the notable probability assigned to no meeting by year-end. Alternative locations remain distant due to the absence of comparable scheduled multilateral forums or confirmed bilateral momentum in those jurisdictions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日China 63%
12月31日までに会談なし 32%
United States 3.6%
Gulf country <1%
$1,161,124 Vol.
$1,161,124 Vol.

China
63%

12月31日までに会談なし
32%

United States
4%

Gulf country
1%

Turkey
1%

Other
1%

Switzerland
1%

Russia
1%

Finland
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Belarus
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%

Ukraine
<1%
China 63%
12月31日までに会談なし 32%
United States 3.6%
Gulf country <1%
$1,161,124 Vol.
$1,161,124 Vol.

China
63%

12月31日までに会談なし
32%

United States
4%

Gulf country
1%

Turkey
1%

Other
1%

Switzerland
1%

Russia
1%

Finland
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Belarus
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%

Ukraine
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent Kremlin statements from aides Yuri Ushakov and Dmitry Peskov indicate that a trilateral Trump-Putin-Xi meeting has been discussed during bilateral talks and a Putin-Trump phone call, with Shenzhen, China, emerging as the leading venue during the November 18-19 APEC summit. This development, tied to ongoing Ukraine diplomacy involving U.S. envoys and broader U.S.-China stabilization efforts, underpins trader consensus around a China-hosted encounter. Uncertainty persists over U.S. confirmation of Trump’s APEC attendance and the pace of Russia-related negotiations, supporting the notable probability assigned to no meeting by year-end. Alternative locations remain distant due to the absence of comparable scheduled multilateral forums or confirmed bilateral momentum in those jurisdictions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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