Recent friction between Ukraine’s Main Directorate of Intelligence and State Security Service, including a September 2026 Kyiv shootout during an arrest tied to an alleged Russian plot, has underscored internal security tensions without escalating into coordinated efforts to seize government control. Broader political strains—cabinet reshuffles, anti-corruption probes implicating figures close to President Zelenskyy, public protests over defense leadership changes, and disputes over agency authority—have fueled speculation about instability. However, martial law, the active conflict with Russia, and the absence of verified attempts to capture parliament or key institutions keep trader-implied probabilities for a qualifying coup attempt low through year-end. Foiled plots or arrests alone do not trigger resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$169,817 Vol.
2026/12/31
12月31日
6%
$169,817 Vol.
12月31日
$151,981 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent friction between Ukraine’s Main Directorate of Intelligence and State Security Service, including a September 2026 Kyiv shootout during an arrest tied to an alleged Russian plot, has underscored internal security tensions without escalating into coordinated efforts to seize government control. Broader political strains—cabinet reshuffles, anti-corruption probes implicating figures close to President Zelenskyy, public protests over defense leadership changes, and disputes over agency authority—have fueled speculation about instability. However, martial law, the active conflict with Russia, and the absence of verified attempts to capture parliament or key institutions keep trader-implied probabilities for a qualifying coup attempt low through year-end. Foiled plots or arrests alone do not trigger resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
音量
$169,817終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent friction between Ukraine’s Main Directorate of Intelligence and State Security Service, including a September 2026 Kyiv shootout during an arrest tied to an alleged Russian plot, has underscored internal security tensions without escalating into coordinated efforts to seize government control. Broader political strains—cabinet reshuffles, anti-corruption probes implicating figures close to President Zelenskyy, public protests over defense leadership changes, and disputes over agency authority—have fueled speculation about instability. However, martial law, the active conflict with Russia, and the absence of verified attempts to capture parliament or key institutions keep trader-implied probabilities for a qualifying coup attempt low through year-end. Foiled plots or arrests alone do not trigger resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$169,817終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Recent friction between Ukraine’s Main Directorate of Intelligence and State Security Service, including a September 2026 Kyiv shootout during an arrest tied to an alleged Russian plot, has underscored internal security tensions without escalating into coordinated efforts to seize government control. Broader political strains—cabinet reshuffles, anti-corruption probes implicating figures close to President Zelenskyy, public protests over defense leadership changes, and disputes over agency authority—have fueled speculation about instability. However, martial law, the active conflict with Russia, and the absence of verified attempts to capture parliament or key institutions keep trader-implied probabilities for a qualifying coup attempt low through year-end. Foiled plots or arrests alone do not trigger resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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