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icon for プーチン大統領は12月31日までにイラン当局者と会談する?

プーチン大統領は12月31日までにイラン当局者と会談する?

icon for プーチン大統領は12月31日までにイラン当局者と会談する?

プーチン大統領は12月31日までにイラン当局者と会談する?

12月 31

12月 31

はい

87% 確率
Polymarket
新規

はい

87% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent high-level engagement between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Iranian officials underpins the elevated trader consensus for an additional meeting before year-end. Putin held in-person talks with Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian on the sidelines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit in Bishkek on September 1, 2026, reaffirming the Comprehensive Strategic Partnership Treaty and discussing trade, energy, transport, and nuclear cooperation amid shared sanctions pressures. Multiple prior face-to-face meetings and phone calls occurred throughout 2025 and early 2026, reflecting sustained bilateral coordination on economic and security matters. This pattern of regular diplomatic contact, combined with ongoing institutional ties through mechanisms like the Eurasian Economic Union and military-technical commissions, supports the current implied probability as traders assess the likelihood of further encounters in the remaining months.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,112
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 10:59 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent high-level engagement between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Iranian officials underpins the elevated trader consensus for an additional meeting before year-end. Putin held in-person talks with Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian on the sidelines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit in Bishkek on September 1, 2026, reaffirming the Comprehensive Strategic Partnership Treaty and discussing trade, energy, transport, and nuclear cooperation amid shared sanctions pressures. Multiple prior face-to-face meetings and phone calls occurred throughout 2025 and early 2026, reflecting sustained bilateral coordination on economic and security matters. This pattern of regular diplomatic contact, combined with ongoing institutional ties through mechanisms like the Eurasian Economic Union and military-technical commissions, supports the current implied probability as traders assess the likelihood of further encounters in the remaining months.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,112
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 10:59 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

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よくある質問

「プーチン大統領は12月31日までにイラン当局者と会談する?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「プーチンが12月31日までにイラン当局者と会談するか?」で87%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、87¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に87%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「プーチン大統領は12月31日までにイラン当局者と会談する?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 3, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「プーチン大統領は12月31日までにイラン当局者と会談する?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「プーチン大統領は12月31日までにイラン当局者と会談する?」の現在のフロントランナーは「プーチンが12月31日までにイラン当局者と会談するか?」で87%であり、市場がこの結果に87%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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