President Donald Trump has shown no public or private signals of intending to resign before the end of 2026, with recent statements emphasizing legislative priorities, midterm campaigning, and post-presidency plans while acknowledging constitutional term limits. Trader consensus at 96.5 percent on “No” reflects the absence of active impeachment proceedings, sustained 25th Amendment discussions, or cabinet-level pressure as of September 2026, consistent with historical patterns where sitting presidents complete terms absent acute crises. Speculation from political opponents citing health concerns, the ongoing Iran conflict, or expected midterm results has not produced verifiable evidence of resignation plans. A sudden medical emergency, Senate conviction risk from new legal developments, or unprecedented party pressure following November elections could still alter probabilities, though no such triggers are currently underway.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
4% 確率
$537,758 Vol.
$537,758 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
4% 確率
$537,758 Vol.
$537,758 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump has shown no public or private signals of intending to resign before the end of 2026, with recent statements emphasizing legislative priorities, midterm campaigning, and post-presidency plans while acknowledging constitutional term limits. Trader consensus at 96.5 percent on “No” reflects the absence of active impeachment proceedings, sustained 25th Amendment discussions, or cabinet-level pressure as of September 2026, consistent with historical patterns where sitting presidents complete terms absent acute crises. Speculation from political opponents citing health concerns, the ongoing Iran conflict, or expected midterm results has not produced verifiable evidence of resignation plans. A sudden medical emergency, Senate conviction risk from new legal developments, or unprecedented party pressure following November elections could still alter probabilities, though no such triggers are currently underway.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
音量
$537,758終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETリゾルバー
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump has shown no public or private signals of intending to resign before the end of 2026, with recent statements emphasizing legislative priorities, midterm campaigning, and post-presidency plans while acknowledging constitutional term limits. Trader consensus at 96.5 percent on “No” reflects the absence of active impeachment proceedings, sustained 25th Amendment discussions, or cabinet-level pressure as of September 2026, consistent with historical patterns where sitting presidents complete terms absent acute crises. Speculation from political opponents citing health concerns, the ongoing Iran conflict, or expected midterm results has not produced verifiable evidence of resignation plans. A sudden medical emergency, Senate conviction risk from new legal developments, or unprecedented party pressure following November elections could still alter probabilities, though no such triggers are currently underway.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$537,758終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETリゾルバー
0x157Ce2d67...President Donald Trump has shown no public or private signals of intending to resign before the end of 2026, with recent statements emphasizing legislative priorities, midterm campaigning, and post-presidency plans while acknowledging constitutional term limits. Trader consensus at 96.5 percent on “No” reflects the absence of active impeachment proceedings, sustained 25th Amendment discussions, or cabinet-level pressure as of September 2026, consistent with historical patterns where sitting presidents complete terms absent acute crises. Speculation from political opponents citing health concerns, the ongoing Iran conflict, or expected midterm results has not produced verifiable evidence of resignation plans. A sudden medical emergency, Senate conviction risk from new legal developments, or unprecedented party pressure following November elections could still alter probabilities, though no such triggers are currently underway.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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