Senate Republicans hold a 53-seat majority but face persistent internal resistance to invoking the nuclear option for full legislative filibuster reform. President Trump has repeatedly pressed Majority Leader John Thune and the caucus to lower the 60-vote threshold via simple-majority precedent, primarily to advance the SAVE America Act on voter eligibility. Thune and multiple senators, including Lisa Murkowski, John Curtis, and Kevin Cramer, have publicly opposed broad changes, citing risks to minority rights and future Democratic majorities. Limited nuclear-option precedents were set in 2025 for nominee confirmations and procedural matters, yet support for extending the tactic to legislation remains short of the needed votes. Upcoming Senate primaries and any renewed funding disputes could test whether additional members shift positions before the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$560,713 Vol.
2026/03/30
2026年12月31日
6%
$560,713 Vol.
2026年12月31日
$5,751 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Senate Republicans hold a 53-seat majority but face persistent internal resistance to invoking the nuclear option for full legislative filibuster reform. President Trump has repeatedly pressed Majority Leader John Thune and the caucus to lower the 60-vote threshold via simple-majority precedent, primarily to advance the SAVE America Act on voter eligibility. Thune and multiple senators, including Lisa Murkowski, John Curtis, and Kevin Cramer, have publicly opposed broad changes, citing risks to minority rights and future Democratic majorities. Limited nuclear-option precedents were set in 2025 for nominee confirmations and procedural matters, yet support for extending the tactic to legislation remains short of the needed votes. Upcoming Senate primaries and any renewed funding disputes could test whether additional members shift positions before the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
マーケット開始日： Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
音量
$560,713終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Senate Republicans hold a 53-seat majority but face persistent internal resistance to invoking the nuclear option for full legislative filibuster reform. President Trump has repeatedly pressed Majority Leader John Thune and the caucus to lower the 60-vote threshold via simple-majority precedent, primarily to advance the SAVE America Act on voter eligibility. Thune and multiple senators, including Lisa Murkowski, John Curtis, and Kevin Cramer, have publicly opposed broad changes, citing risks to minority rights and future Democratic majorities. Limited nuclear-option precedents were set in 2025 for nominee confirmations and procedural matters, yet support for extending the tactic to legislation remains short of the needed votes. Upcoming Senate primaries and any renewed funding disputes could test whether additional members shift positions before the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
音量
$560,713終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Senate Republicans hold a 53-seat majority but face persistent internal resistance to invoking the nuclear option for full legislative filibuster reform. President Trump has repeatedly pressed Majority Leader John Thune and the caucus to lower the 60-vote threshold via simple-majority precedent, primarily to advance the SAVE America Act on voter eligibility. Thune and multiple senators, including Lisa Murkowski, John Curtis, and Kevin Cramer, have publicly opposed broad changes, citing risks to minority rights and future Democratic majorities. Limited nuclear-option precedents were set in 2025 for nominee confirmations and procedural matters, yet support for extending the tactic to legislation remains short of the needed votes. Upcoming Senate primaries and any renewed funding disputes could test whether additional members shift positions before the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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