Russian forces launched a renewed mechanized offensive toward Dobropillia in western Donetsk Oblast on July 22, 2026, deploying units from the 8th and 41st Combined Arms Armies along with the 90th Tank Division to encircle the city from the east and southeast and disrupt logistics toward the Ukrainian “Fortress Belt.” Multiple large-scale assaults and infiltration attempts have occurred, yet assessments from the Institute for the Study of War indicate no confirmed Russian territorial gains in the Dobropillia sector on September 7–8, with Ukrainian forces repelling attacks and conducting localized counteractions. Russian operations rely on small assault groups, FPV drones, artillery interdiction, and incremental pressure near settlements such as Bilytske and Rodynske, while Ukrainian brigades including the 15th Operational and Rubizh have maintained defensive lines despite intensified shelling and logistics challenges. The city’s role as a transportation hub makes it a priority objective, though sustained Ukrainian resistance and high Russian equipment losses continue to shape the pace of advances.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,259 Vol.
2026/10/31
10月31日
5%
12月31日
17%
$14,259 Vol.
10月31日
$1,656 Vol.
5%
12月31日
$12,603 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.475882° N, 37.082566° E in Dobropillia, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Dobropillia: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dobropillia1-6bc31d8213.png
Dobropillia Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dobropillia%202-daa3abcc03.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/GzbpmgPN3LpxzvrcA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces launched a renewed mechanized offensive toward Dobropillia in western Donetsk Oblast on July 22, 2026, deploying units from the 8th and 41st Combined Arms Armies along with the 90th Tank Division to encircle the city from the east and southeast and disrupt logistics toward the Ukrainian “Fortress Belt.” Multiple large-scale assaults and infiltration attempts have occurred, yet assessments from the Institute for the Study of War indicate no confirmed Russian territorial gains in the Dobropillia sector on September 7–8, with Ukrainian forces repelling attacks and conducting localized counteractions. Russian operations rely on small assault groups, FPV drones, artillery interdiction, and incremental pressure near settlements such as Bilytske and Rodynske, while Ukrainian brigades including the 15th Operational and Rubizh have maintained defensive lines despite intensified shelling and logistics challenges. The city’s role as a transportation hub makes it a priority objective, though sustained Ukrainian resistance and high Russian equipment losses continue to shape the pace of advances.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.475882° N, 37.082566° E in Dobropillia, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Dobropillia: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dobropillia1-6bc31d8213.png
Dobropillia Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dobropillia%202-daa3abcc03.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/GzbpmgPN3LpxzvrcA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Dobropillia: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dobropillia1-6bc31d8213.png
Dobropillia Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dobropillia%202-daa3abcc03.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/GzbpmgPN3LpxzvrcA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 24, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
音量
$14,259終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 8:08 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.475882° N, 37.082566° E in Dobropillia, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Dobropillia: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dobropillia1-6bc31d8213.png
Dobropillia Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dobropillia%202-daa3abcc03.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/GzbpmgPN3LpxzvrcA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces launched a renewed mechanized offensive toward Dobropillia in western Donetsk Oblast on July 22, 2026, deploying units from the 8th and 41st Combined Arms Armies along with the 90th Tank Division to encircle the city from the east and southeast and disrupt logistics toward the Ukrainian “Fortress Belt.” Multiple large-scale assaults and infiltration attempts have occurred, yet assessments from the Institute for the Study of War indicate no confirmed Russian territorial gains in the Dobropillia sector on September 7–8, with Ukrainian forces repelling attacks and conducting localized counteractions. Russian operations rely on small assault groups, FPV drones, artillery interdiction, and incremental pressure near settlements such as Bilytske and Rodynske, while Ukrainian brigades including the 15th Operational and Rubizh have maintained defensive lines despite intensified shelling and logistics challenges. The city’s role as a transportation hub makes it a priority objective, though sustained Ukrainian resistance and high Russian equipment losses continue to shape the pace of advances.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.475882° N, 37.082566° E in Dobropillia, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Dobropillia: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dobropillia1-6bc31d8213.png
Dobropillia Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dobropillia%202-daa3abcc03.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/GzbpmgPN3LpxzvrcA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Dobropillia: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dobropillia1-6bc31d8213.png
Dobropillia Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dobropillia%202-daa3abcc03.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/GzbpmgPN3LpxzvrcA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
音量
$14,259終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 8:08 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Russian forces launched a renewed mechanized offensive toward Dobropillia in western Donetsk Oblast on July 22, 2026, deploying units from the 8th and 41st Combined Arms Armies along with the 90th Tank Division to encircle the city from the east and southeast and disrupt logistics toward the Ukrainian “Fortress Belt.” Multiple large-scale assaults and infiltration attempts have occurred, yet assessments from the Institute for the Study of War indicate no confirmed Russian territorial gains in the Dobropillia sector on September 7–8, with Ukrainian forces repelling attacks and conducting localized counteractions. Russian operations rely on small assault groups, FPV drones, artillery interdiction, and incremental pressure near settlements such as Bilytske and Rodynske, while Ukrainian brigades including the 15th Operational and Rubizh have maintained defensive lines despite intensified shelling and logistics challenges. The city’s role as a transportation hub makes it a priority objective, though sustained Ukrainian resistance and high Russian equipment losses continue to shape the pace of advances.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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