Iran's Islamic Republic maintains a legal framework rooted in Sharia interpretations under the Islamic Penal Code, where same-sex relations remain criminalized with penalties including execution, and the Guardian Council and Supreme Leader hold veto power over any legislative changes from the Majlis. No proposals, court rulings, or official signals have emerged in 2025-2026 to advance recognition of same-sex marriage, consistent with longstanding policy amid ongoing enforcement and reports of persecution. Trader consensus at 98.2% "No" by the December 2026 deadline reflects these entrenched institutional barriers. Shifts could still occur through unforeseen leadership transitions, constitutional amendments, or binding judicial reinterpretations, though such developments lack current precedent or momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
2% 確率
$78,455 Vol.
$78,455 Vol.
2026/12/30
はい
2% 確率
$78,455 Vol.
$78,455 Vol.
2026/12/30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Islamic Republic maintains a legal framework rooted in Sharia interpretations under the Islamic Penal Code, where same-sex relations remain criminalized with penalties including execution, and the Guardian Council and Supreme Leader hold veto power over any legislative changes from the Majlis. No proposals, court rulings, or official signals have emerged in 2025-2026 to advance recognition of same-sex marriage, consistent with longstanding policy amid ongoing enforcement and reports of persecution. Trader consensus at 98.2% "No" by the December 2026 deadline reflects these entrenched institutional barriers. Shifts could still occur through unforeseen leadership transitions, constitutional amendments, or binding judicial reinterpretations, though such developments lack current precedent or momentum.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
音量
$78,455終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Islamic Republic maintains a legal framework rooted in Sharia interpretations under the Islamic Penal Code, where same-sex relations remain criminalized with penalties including execution, and the Guardian Council and Supreme Leader hold veto power over any legislative changes from the Majlis. No proposals, court rulings, or official signals have emerged in 2025-2026 to advance recognition of same-sex marriage, consistent with longstanding policy amid ongoing enforcement and reports of persecution. Trader consensus at 98.2% "No" by the December 2026 deadline reflects these entrenched institutional barriers. Shifts could still occur through unforeseen leadership transitions, constitutional amendments, or binding judicial reinterpretations, though such developments lack current precedent or momentum.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$78,455終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Iran's Islamic Republic maintains a legal framework rooted in Sharia interpretations under the Islamic Penal Code, where same-sex relations remain criminalized with penalties including execution, and the Guardian Council and Supreme Leader hold veto power over any legislative changes from the Majlis. No proposals, court rulings, or official signals have emerged in 2025-2026 to advance recognition of same-sex marriage, consistent with longstanding policy amid ongoing enforcement and reports of persecution. Trader consensus at 98.2% "No" by the December 2026 deadline reflects these entrenched institutional barriers. Shifts could still occur through unforeseen leadership transitions, constitutional amendments, or binding judicial reinterpretations, though such developments lack current precedent or momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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