The ongoing Bundibugyo virus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, now the second-largest Ebola epidemic on record with over 6,700 confirmed cases and 3,200 deaths as of early September 2026, anchors trader sentiment around DRC as a near-certainty for 2026 cases. Rapid early growth across Ituri and neighboring provinces, conflict zones hindering response, and limited vaccine efficacy against this strain have kept the WHO PHEIC active, while imported cases reached Uganda (20 total before its outbreak ended) and one in France. Neighboring countries face elevated risk from cross-border movement, though containment efforts and the 42-day monitoring periods in affected areas limit further spread so far. Upcoming factors include continued case tracking through year-end and any new international imports.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
$38,411 Vol.
South Sudan
65%
Rwanda
22%
Burundi
53%
United States
20%
Canada
23%
Kenya
24%
India
40%
Republic of the Congo
22%
Nigeria
50%
Ethiopia
44%
Somalia
37%
China
14%
$38,411 Vol.
South Sudan
65%
Rwanda
22%
Burundi
53%
United States
20%
Canada
23%
Kenya
24%
India
40%
Republic of the Congo
22%
Nigeria
50%
Ethiopia
44%
Somalia
37%
China
14%
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
マーケット開始日: May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The ongoing Bundibugyo virus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, now the second-largest Ebola epidemic on record with over 6,700 confirmed cases and 3,200 deaths as of early September 2026, anchors trader sentiment around DRC as a near-certainty for 2026 cases. Rapid early growth across Ituri and neighboring provinces, conflict zones hindering response, and limited vaccine efficacy against this strain have kept the WHO PHEIC active, while imported cases reached Uganda (20 total before its outbreak ended) and one in France. Neighboring countries face elevated risk from cross-border movement, though containment efforts and the 42-day monitoring periods in affected areas limit further spread so far. Upcoming factors include continued case tracking through year-end and any new international imports.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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