Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary with 38.9% of the vote alongside Republican John Braun at 38.7%, setting up a November general election in a district that voted for Donald Trump in 2024. Perez’s prior narrow wins in 2022 and 2024, combined with her established fundraising edge and centrist positioning, underpin trader expectations of her strong position. Braun, the state Senate minority leader with a Trump endorsement, consolidated Republican support but faces the challenge of overcoming an incumbent’s name recognition in a race rated toss-up by multiple forecasters. A third-place progressive Democratic primary challenger who declined to endorse Perez highlighted intraparty tensions yet did not alter the general-election matchup.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$34,372 Vol.
$34,372 Vol.
2026/11/03
マリー・グルーゼンカンプ・ペレズ（民主党）
88%
ジョン・ブラウン（共和党）
11%
$34,372 Vol.
$34,372 Vol.
2026/11/03
マリー・グルーゼンカンプ・ペレズ（民主党）
$23,376 Vol.
88%
ジョン・ブラウン（共和党）
$10,996 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary with 38.9% of the vote alongside Republican John Braun at 38.7%, setting up a November general election in a district that voted for Donald Trump in 2024. Perez’s prior narrow wins in 2022 and 2024, combined with her established fundraising edge and centrist positioning, underpin trader expectations of her strong position. Braun, the state Senate minority leader with a Trump endorsement, consolidated Republican support but faces the challenge of overcoming an incumbent’s name recognition in a race rated toss-up by multiple forecasters. A third-place progressive Democratic primary challenger who declined to endorse Perez highlighted intraparty tensions yet did not alter the general-election matchup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
音量
$34,372終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary with 38.9% of the vote alongside Republican John Braun at 38.7%, setting up a November general election in a district that voted for Donald Trump in 2024. Perez’s prior narrow wins in 2022 and 2024, combined with her established fundraising edge and centrist positioning, underpin trader expectations of her strong position. Braun, the state Senate minority leader with a Trump endorsement, consolidated Republican support but faces the challenge of overcoming an incumbent’s name recognition in a race rated toss-up by multiple forecasters. A third-place progressive Democratic primary challenger who declined to endorse Perez highlighted intraparty tensions yet did not alter the general-election matchup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$34,372終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary with 38.9% of the vote alongside Republican John Braun at 38.7%, setting up a November general election in a district that voted for Donald Trump in 2024. Perez’s prior narrow wins in 2022 and 2024, combined with her established fundraising edge and centrist positioning, underpin trader expectations of her strong position. Braun, the state Senate minority leader with a Trump endorsement, consolidated Republican support but faces the challenge of overcoming an incumbent’s name recognition in a race rated toss-up by multiple forecasters. A third-place progressive Democratic primary challenger who declined to endorse Perez highlighted intraparty tensions yet did not alter the general-election matchup.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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