Amanda McKinney holds a commanding position in the Washington 4th Congressional District race because the open seat lies in one of the state’s most reliably Republican areas, long represented by retiring Rep. Dan Newhouse. McKinney, a Yakima County commissioner, consolidated support in the August 4 top-two primary, finishing first with roughly 35 percent behind endorsements from President Trump and House Speaker Mike Johnson, while outpacing other GOP contenders. The district’s conservative electorate and her substantial fundraising edge, including backing from aligned super PACs, reinforce trader expectations of a Republican hold. Democrat John Duresky, a retired Air Force veteran who advanced in second place, has raised notable funds and secured labor support, yet faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Late developments such as turnout shifts, candidate controversies, or national political swings could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$54,328 Vol.
$54,328 Vol.
2026/11/02
アマンダ・マッキニー（共和党）
92%
ジョン・デュレスキー（民主党）
8%
$54,328 Vol.
$54,328 Vol.
2026/11/02
アマンダ・マッキニー（共和党）
$30,916 Vol.
92%
ジョン・デュレスキー（民主党）
$23,412 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Amanda McKinney holds a commanding position in the Washington 4th Congressional District race because the open seat lies in one of the state’s most reliably Republican areas, long represented by retiring Rep. Dan Newhouse. McKinney, a Yakima County commissioner, consolidated support in the August 4 top-two primary, finishing first with roughly 35 percent behind endorsements from President Trump and House Speaker Mike Johnson, while outpacing other GOP contenders. The district’s conservative electorate and her substantial fundraising edge, including backing from aligned super PACs, reinforce trader expectations of a Republican hold. Democrat John Duresky, a retired Air Force veteran who advanced in second place, has raised notable funds and secured labor support, yet faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Late developments such as turnout shifts, candidate controversies, or national political swings could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$54,328終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Amanda McKinney holds a commanding position in the Washington 4th Congressional District race because the open seat lies in one of the state’s most reliably Republican areas, long represented by retiring Rep. Dan Newhouse. McKinney, a Yakima County commissioner, consolidated support in the August 4 top-two primary, finishing first with roughly 35 percent behind endorsements from President Trump and House Speaker Mike Johnson, while outpacing other GOP contenders. The district’s conservative electorate and her substantial fundraising edge, including backing from aligned super PACs, reinforce trader expectations of a Republican hold. Democrat John Duresky, a retired Air Force veteran who advanced in second place, has raised notable funds and secured labor support, yet faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Late developments such as turnout shifts, candidate controversies, or national political swings could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$54,328終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Amanda McKinney holds a commanding position in the Washington 4th Congressional District race because the open seat lies in one of the state’s most reliably Republican areas, long represented by retiring Rep. Dan Newhouse. McKinney, a Yakima County commissioner, consolidated support in the August 4 top-two primary, finishing first with roughly 35 percent behind endorsements from President Trump and House Speaker Mike Johnson, while outpacing other GOP contenders. The district’s conservative electorate and her substantial fundraising edge, including backing from aligned super PACs, reinforce trader expectations of a Republican hold. Democrat John Duresky, a retired Air Force veteran who advanced in second place, has raised notable funds and secured labor support, yet faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Late developments such as turnout shifts, candidate controversies, or national political swings could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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