Blake Moore holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Utah 2nd Congressional District general election due to the district’s R+15 Partisan Voter Index and its strong Republican performance in recent presidential voting. After redistricting shifted the seat to cover northern counties including Davis, Weber, Cache, and Box Elder, Moore secured the Republican nomination in June by defeating state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee with roughly 57% of the primary vote despite convention opposition and outside spending. Endorsements from President Trump and House leadership, combined with substantial fundraising advantages, reinforced his position. Democrat Peter Crosby advanced unopposed but faces limited resources and visibility in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,841 Vol.
$15,841 Vol.
2026/11/03
ブレイク・ムーア（共和党）
95%
ピーター・クロスビー（民主党）
5%
$15,841 Vol.
$15,841 Vol.
2026/11/03
ブレイク・ムーア（共和党）
$2,462 Vol.
95%
ピーター・クロスビー（民主党）
$13,379 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Blake Moore holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Utah 2nd Congressional District general election due to the district’s R+15 Partisan Voter Index and its strong Republican performance in recent presidential voting. After redistricting shifted the seat to cover northern counties including Davis, Weber, Cache, and Box Elder, Moore secured the Republican nomination in June by defeating state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee with roughly 57% of the primary vote despite convention opposition and outside spending. Endorsements from President Trump and House leadership, combined with substantial fundraising advantages, reinforced his position. Democrat Peter Crosby advanced unopposed but faces limited resources and visibility in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
音量
$15,841終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Blake Moore holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Utah 2nd Congressional District general election due to the district’s R+15 Partisan Voter Index and its strong Republican performance in recent presidential voting. After redistricting shifted the seat to cover northern counties including Davis, Weber, Cache, and Box Elder, Moore secured the Republican nomination in June by defeating state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee with roughly 57% of the primary vote despite convention opposition and outside spending. Endorsements from President Trump and House leadership, combined with substantial fundraising advantages, reinforced his position. Democrat Peter Crosby advanced unopposed but faces limited resources and visibility in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,841終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Blake Moore holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Utah 2nd Congressional District general election due to the district’s R+15 Partisan Voter Index and its strong Republican performance in recent presidential voting. After redistricting shifted the seat to cover northern counties including Davis, Weber, Cache, and Box Elder, Moore secured the Republican nomination in June by defeating state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee with roughly 57% of the primary vote despite convention opposition and outside spending. Endorsements from President Trump and House leadership, combined with substantial fundraising advantages, reinforced his position. Democrat Peter Crosby advanced unopposed but faces limited resources and visibility in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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