**Ongoing regional tensions involving Iran, Israel, and Hezbollah have shaped U.S. diplomatic staffing decisions at the Beirut embassy throughout 2026.** In February, the State Department ordered the departure of non-essential personnel and families as a precautionary measure amid military buildup and security concerns, while keeping core operations intact. By early March, the embassy suspended routine services and closed temporarily during expanded conflict, urging American citizens to depart Lebanon using commercial flights. Staff reductions reversed in August when the administration began returning diplomats to Middle East posts, with Beirut among the first affected. As of early September, the embassy remains open for citizen and visa services under a Level 4 travel advisory, issuing alerts about potential flight disruptions and escalation risks without new ordered departures. Trader assessments of any full evacuation timeline hinge on verifiable shifts in these Middle East security dynamics and official State Department actions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$119,235 Vol.
2026/12/31
12月31日
5%
$119,235 Vol.
12月31日
$25,133 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. **Ongoing regional tensions involving Iran, Israel, and Hezbollah have shaped U.S. diplomatic staffing decisions at the Beirut embassy throughout 2026.** In February, the State Department ordered the departure of non-essential personnel and families as a precautionary measure amid military buildup and security concerns, while keeping core operations intact. By early March, the embassy suspended routine services and closed temporarily during expanded conflict, urging American citizens to depart Lebanon using commercial flights.
Staff reductions reversed in August when the administration began returning diplomats to Middle East posts, with Beirut among the first affected. As of early September, the embassy remains open for citizen and visa services under a Level 4 travel advisory, issuing alerts about potential flight disruptions and escalation risks without new ordered departures. Trader assessments of any full evacuation timeline hinge on verifiable shifts in these Middle East security dynamics and official State Department actions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
マーケット開始日： Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
音量
$119,235終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. **Ongoing regional tensions involving Iran, Israel, and Hezbollah have shaped U.S. diplomatic staffing decisions at the Beirut embassy throughout 2026.** In February, the State Department ordered the departure of non-essential personnel and families as a precautionary measure amid military buildup and security concerns, while keeping core operations intact. By early March, the embassy suspended routine services and closed temporarily during expanded conflict, urging American citizens to depart Lebanon using commercial flights.
Staff reductions reversed in August when the administration began returning diplomats to Middle East posts, with Beirut among the first affected. As of early September, the embassy remains open for citizen and visa services under a Level 4 travel advisory, issuing alerts about potential flight disruptions and escalation risks without new ordered departures. Trader assessments of any full evacuation timeline hinge on verifiable shifts in these Middle East security dynamics and official State Department actions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
音量
$119,235終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...**Ongoing regional tensions involving Iran, Israel, and Hezbollah have shaped U.S. diplomatic staffing decisions at the Beirut embassy throughout 2026.** In February, the State Department ordered the departure of non-essential personnel and families as a precautionary measure amid military buildup and security concerns, while keeping core operations intact. By early March, the embassy suspended routine services and closed temporarily during expanded conflict, urging American citizens to depart Lebanon using commercial flights. Staff reductions reversed in August when the administration began returning diplomats to Middle East posts, with Beirut among the first affected. As of early September, the embassy remains open for citizen and visa services under a Level 4 travel advisory, issuing alerts about potential flight disruptions and escalation risks without new ordered departures. Trader assessments of any full evacuation timeline hinge on verifiable shifts in these Middle East security dynamics and official State Department actions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問