The Unity party, formed in August 2026 by former Likud figures Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein to promote a broad Zionist coalition, has shown negligible support in recent polling for the October 27 Knesset election. Multiple surveys from early September placed it at or below 1-2% of the vote, often failing to approach the 3.25% electoral threshold, amid fragmentation in the center-right space and stronger showings by parties such as Yashar and Together. The party formally withdrew its candidate list on September 4, ahead of the submission deadline, effectively removing it from contention. Trader consensus reflects these developments, with the sub-0.5% bracket holding overwhelming probability. Shifts could occur only through an unforeseen reversal of the withdrawal or late legal maneuvers restoring ballot access, though neither appears probable based on current procedural status.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日0.5%未満 94.4%
0.5～0.75％ 1.1%
0.75〜1% <1%
1～2％ <1%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
0.5%未満
94%
0.5～0.75％
1%
0.75〜1%
1%
1～2％
1%
2%以上
<1%
0.5%未満 94.4%
0.5～0.75％ 1.1%
0.75〜1% <1%
1～2％ <1%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
0.5%未満
$534 Vol.
94%
0.5～0.75％
$162 Vol.
1%
0.75〜1%
$109 Vol.
1%
1～2％
$112 Vol.
1%
2%以上
$176 Vol.
<1%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).The Unity party, formed in August 2026 by former Likud figures Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein to promote a broad Zionist coalition, has shown negligible support in recent polling for the October 27 Knesset election. Multiple surveys from early September placed it at or below 1-2% of the vote, often failing to approach the 3.25% electoral threshold, amid fragmentation in the center-right space and stronger showings by parties such as Yashar and Together. The party formally withdrew its candidate list on September 4, ahead of the submission deadline, effectively removing it from contention. Trader consensus reflects these developments, with the sub-0.5% bracket holding overwhelming probability. Shifts could occur only through an unforeseen reversal of the withdrawal or late legal maneuvers restoring ballot access, though neither appears probable based on current procedural status.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
音量
$1,093終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ETLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).The Unity party, formed in August 2026 by former Likud figures Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein to promote a broad Zionist coalition, has shown negligible support in recent polling for the October 27 Knesset election. Multiple surveys from early September placed it at or below 1-2% of the vote, often failing to approach the 3.25% electoral threshold, amid fragmentation in the center-right space and stronger showings by parties such as Yashar and Together. The party formally withdrew its candidate list on September 4, ahead of the submission deadline, effectively removing it from contention. Trader consensus reflects these developments, with the sub-0.5% bracket holding overwhelming probability. Shifts could occur only through an unforeseen reversal of the withdrawal or late legal maneuvers restoring ballot access, though neither appears probable based on current procedural status.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
音量
$1,093終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ETThe Unity party, formed in August 2026 by former Likud figures Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein to promote a broad Zionist coalition, has shown negligible support in recent polling for the October 27 Knesset election. Multiple surveys from early September placed it at or below 1-2% of the vote, often failing to approach the 3.25% electoral threshold, amid fragmentation in the center-right space and stronger showings by parties such as Yashar and Together. The party formally withdrew its candidate list on September 4, ahead of the submission deadline, effectively removing it from contention. Trader consensus reflects these developments, with the sub-0.5% bracket holding overwhelming probability. Shifts could occur only through an unforeseen reversal of the withdrawal or late legal maneuvers restoring ballot access, though neither appears probable based on current procedural status.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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