Benedita da Silva (PT) leads recent polling averages for the Rio de Janeiro Senate race, reaching 15% in the latest Quaest survey (up from prior rounds) and 23% on first-preference votes, with Paraná Pesquisas showing her at 30.7% in total mentions. This positioning reflects her established name recognition as a former governor and federal deputy, plus alignment with President Lula’s coalition, which supports her path to the top spot in a contest for two seats where voters select up to two candidates. Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) holds second place in most surveys at 8–20.5%, aided by prior mayoral visibility and a TSE ruling in August that cleared his candidacy despite prior ineligibility concerns. Other contenders including Carlos Jordy, Pedro Paulo, and Carlos Portinho remain clustered lower, with high undecided and blank/null shares (around 25–50% across polls) leaving room for late shifts before the October 2026 vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ベネジータ・ダ・シルバ 66%
マルセロ・クリヴェラ 23.8%
カルロス・ジョルジ 8%
カルロス・ポルティーニョ 4.2%
$46,745 Vol.
$46,745 Vol.
2026/10/04
ベネジータ・ダ・シルバ
66%
マルセロ・クリヴェラ
24%
カルロス・ジョルジ
8%
カルロス・ポルティーニョ
4%
ペドロ・パウロ
2%
オ・クレメンチ
<1%
アンドレ・モンテイロ
<1%
エリオ・セッコ
<1%
ルシアーノ・マットス
<1%
ルイス・ユージェニオ
<1%
マルコス・ディアス
<1%
ミシェリー・ザビエル
<1%
モニカ・ベニシオ
<1%
パウラ・ファルカン
<1%
ヴィニシウス・ベネヴィデス
<1%
ワギーニョ
<1%
ベネジータ・ダ・シルバ 66%
マルセロ・クリヴェラ 23.8%
カルロス・ジョルジ 8%
カルロス・ポルティーニョ 4.2%
$46,745 Vol.
$46,745 Vol.
2026/10/04
ベネジータ・ダ・シルバ
$17,333 Vol.
66%
マルセロ・クリヴェラ
$4,886 Vol.
24%
カルロス・ジョルジ
$10,132 Vol.
8%
カルロス・ポルティーニョ
$3,286 Vol.
4%
ペドロ・パウロ
$2,432 Vol.
2%
オ・クレメンチ
$1,630 Vol.
<1%
アンドレ・モンテイロ
$816 Vol.
<1%
エリオ・セッコ
$490 Vol.
<1%
ルシアーノ・マットス
$375 Vol.
<1%
ルイス・ユージェニオ
$763 Vol.
<1%
マルコス・ディアス
$887 Vol.
<1%
ミシェリー・ザビエル
$671 Vol.
<1%
モニカ・ベニシオ
$843 Vol.
<1%
パウラ・ファルカン
$845 Vol.
<1%
ヴィニシウス・ベネヴィデス
$649 Vol.
<1%
ワギーニョ
$707 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Benedita da Silva (PT) leads recent polling averages for the Rio de Janeiro Senate race, reaching 15% in the latest Quaest survey (up from prior rounds) and 23% on first-preference votes, with Paraná Pesquisas showing her at 30.7% in total mentions. This positioning reflects her established name recognition as a former governor and federal deputy, plus alignment with President Lula’s coalition, which supports her path to the top spot in a contest for two seats where voters select up to two candidates. Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) holds second place in most surveys at 8–20.5%, aided by prior mayoral visibility and a TSE ruling in August that cleared his candidacy despite prior ineligibility concerns. Other contenders including Carlos Jordy, Pedro Paulo, and Carlos Portinho remain clustered lower, with high undecided and blank/null shares (around 25–50% across polls) leaving room for late shifts before the October 2026 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
音量
$46,745終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Benedita da Silva (PT) leads recent polling averages for the Rio de Janeiro Senate race, reaching 15% in the latest Quaest survey (up from prior rounds) and 23% on first-preference votes, with Paraná Pesquisas showing her at 30.7% in total mentions. This positioning reflects her established name recognition as a former governor and federal deputy, plus alignment with President Lula’s coalition, which supports her path to the top spot in a contest for two seats where voters select up to two candidates. Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) holds second place in most surveys at 8–20.5%, aided by prior mayoral visibility and a TSE ruling in August that cleared his candidacy despite prior ineligibility concerns. Other contenders including Carlos Jordy, Pedro Paulo, and Carlos Portinho remain clustered lower, with high undecided and blank/null shares (around 25–50% across polls) leaving room for late shifts before the October 2026 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$46,745終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Benedita da Silva (PT) leads recent polling averages for the Rio de Janeiro Senate race, reaching 15% in the latest Quaest survey (up from prior rounds) and 23% on first-preference votes, with Paraná Pesquisas showing her at 30.7% in total mentions. This positioning reflects her established name recognition as a former governor and federal deputy, plus alignment with President Lula’s coalition, which supports her path to the top spot in a contest for two seats where voters select up to two candidates. Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) holds second place in most surveys at 8–20.5%, aided by prior mayoral visibility and a TSE ruling in August that cleared his candidacy despite prior ineligibility concerns. Other contenders including Carlos Jordy, Pedro Paulo, and Carlos Portinho remain clustered lower, with high undecided and blank/null shares (around 25–50% across polls) leaving room for late shifts before the October 2026 vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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