Incumbent Summer Lee holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 12th congressional district due to its deep Democratic lean, where registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by more than two to one and the Cook Partisan Voting Index rates it among the state’s most left-leaning seats. Lee secured the Democratic nomination comfortably in the May primary and enters the November general election with a substantial fundraising edge over Republican challenger James Hayes, who ran unopposed in his primary but has raised far less. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$24,171 Vol.
$24,171 Vol.
2026/11/03
サマー・リー（民主党）
97%
ジェームズ・ヘイズ（共和党）
3%
$24,171 Vol.
$24,171 Vol.
2026/11/03
サマー・リー（民主党）
$18,859 Vol.
97%
ジェームズ・ヘイズ（共和党）
$5,312 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Summer Lee holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 12th congressional district due to its deep Democratic lean, where registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by more than two to one and the Cook Partisan Voting Index rates it among the state’s most left-leaning seats. Lee secured the Democratic nomination comfortably in the May primary and enters the November general election with a substantial fundraising edge over Republican challenger James Hayes, who ran unopposed in his primary but has raised far less. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$24,171終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Summer Lee holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 12th congressional district due to its deep Democratic lean, where registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by more than two to one and the Cook Partisan Voting Index rates it among the state’s most left-leaning seats. Lee secured the Democratic nomination comfortably in the May primary and enters the November general election with a substantial fundraising edge over Republican challenger James Hayes, who ran unopposed in his primary but has raised far less. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$24,171終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2f5e3684c...Incumbent Summer Lee holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 12th congressional district due to its deep Democratic lean, where registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by more than two to one and the Cook Partisan Voting Index rates it among the state’s most left-leaning seats. Lee secured the Democratic nomination comfortably in the May primary and enters the November general election with a substantial fundraising edge over Republican challenger James Hayes, who ran unopposed in his primary but has raised far less. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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