Rick Allen holds a commanding lead in the GA-12 House race due to the eastern Georgia district's consistent Republican lean, where he secured over 60% in 2024 and all major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. As the five-term incumbent, Allen easily dispatched a primary challenger in May 2026, while Democrat Ceretta Smith emerged from her June runoff to face him in the November general election. The absence of competitive polling, significant fundraising gaps favoring the incumbent, or major district-specific shifts in recent months has reinforced trader consensus around Allen's position. Late developments such as a national political realignment, candidate health issues, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such changes improbable before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$34,054 Vol.
$34,054 Vol.
2026/11/02
リック・アレン（共和党）
91%
セレッタ・スミス（民主党）
9%
$34,054 Vol.
$34,054 Vol.
2026/11/02
リック・アレン（共和党）
$17,836 Vol.
91%
セレッタ・スミス（民主党）
$16,218 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rick Allen holds a commanding lead in the GA-12 House race due to the eastern Georgia district's consistent Republican lean, where he secured over 60% in 2024 and all major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. As the five-term incumbent, Allen easily dispatched a primary challenger in May 2026, while Democrat Ceretta Smith emerged from her June runoff to face him in the November general election. The absence of competitive polling, significant fundraising gaps favoring the incumbent, or major district-specific shifts in recent months has reinforced trader consensus around Allen's position. Late developments such as a national political realignment, candidate health issues, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such changes improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$34,054終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rick Allen holds a commanding lead in the GA-12 House race due to the eastern Georgia district's consistent Republican lean, where he secured over 60% in 2024 and all major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. As the five-term incumbent, Allen easily dispatched a primary challenger in May 2026, while Democrat Ceretta Smith emerged from her June runoff to face him in the November general election. The absence of competitive polling, significant fundraising gaps favoring the incumbent, or major district-specific shifts in recent months has reinforced trader consensus around Allen's position. Late developments such as a national political realignment, candidate health issues, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such changes improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$34,054終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Rick Allen holds a commanding lead in the GA-12 House race due to the eastern Georgia district's consistent Republican lean, where he secured over 60% in 2024 and all major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. As the five-term incumbent, Allen easily dispatched a primary challenger in May 2026, while Democrat Ceretta Smith emerged from her June runoff to face him in the November general election. The absence of competitive polling, significant fundraising gaps favoring the incumbent, or major district-specific shifts in recent months has reinforced trader consensus around Allen's position. Late developments such as a national political realignment, candidate health issues, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such changes improbable before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問