Josh Gottheimer's commanding position in the NJ-05 race stems from his status as a five-term incumbent in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by outlets including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ. Both major-party primaries were uncontested in June 2026, clearing the path for the general election on November 3. Gottheimer maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $11 million in cash on hand versus Sean Kirrane's limited resources, supporting stronger campaign infrastructure and voter outreach. The district's voter registration and historical results favor Democrats. A meaningful shift in trader sentiment would require unusual developments, such as a national political wave, significant candidate-specific issues, or unexpected turnout changes in Bergen, Passaic, and Sussex counties.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$26,211 Vol.
$26,211 Vol.
2026/11/03
ジョシュ・ゴットハイマー（民主党）
97%
ショーン・カーレイン（共和党）
3%
$26,211 Vol.
$26,211 Vol.
2026/11/03
ジョシュ・ゴットハイマー（民主党）
$19,054 Vol.
97%
ショーン・カーレイン（共和党）
$7,158 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Josh Gottheimer's commanding position in the NJ-05 race stems from his status as a five-term incumbent in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by outlets including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ. Both major-party primaries were uncontested in June 2026, clearing the path for the general election on November 3. Gottheimer maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $11 million in cash on hand versus Sean Kirrane's limited resources, supporting stronger campaign infrastructure and voter outreach. The district's voter registration and historical results favor Democrats. A meaningful shift in trader sentiment would require unusual developments, such as a national political wave, significant candidate-specific issues, or unexpected turnout changes in Bergen, Passaic, and Sussex counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
音量
$26,211終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Josh Gottheimer's commanding position in the NJ-05 race stems from his status as a five-term incumbent in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by outlets including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ. Both major-party primaries were uncontested in June 2026, clearing the path for the general election on November 3. Gottheimer maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $11 million in cash on hand versus Sean Kirrane's limited resources, supporting stronger campaign infrastructure and voter outreach. The district's voter registration and historical results favor Democrats. A meaningful shift in trader sentiment would require unusual developments, such as a national political wave, significant candidate-specific issues, or unexpected turnout changes in Bergen, Passaic, and Sussex counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$26,211終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Josh Gottheimer's commanding position in the NJ-05 race stems from his status as a five-term incumbent in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by outlets including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ. Both major-party primaries were uncontested in June 2026, clearing the path for the general election on November 3. Gottheimer maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $11 million in cash on hand versus Sean Kirrane's limited resources, supporting stronger campaign infrastructure and voter outreach. The district's voter registration and historical results favor Democrats. A meaningful shift in trader sentiment would require unusual developments, such as a national political wave, significant candidate-specific issues, or unexpected turnout changes in Bergen, Passaic, and Sussex counties.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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