Anthropic’s release of Claude Sonnet 5 on June 30, 2026—positioned as its most agentic large language model yet with stronger planning, tool use, browser and terminal integration, and coding performance close to Opus 4.8 at lower cost—sets the baseline for the next Sonnet iteration. The roughly four-month gap from Sonnet 4.6 in February aligns with Anthropic’s recent cadence of incremental mid-tier updates focused on agentic capabilities and competitive pricing against OpenAI and Google models. Trader sentiment reflects this pattern plus ongoing development of related models like Opus 5 and Fable 5.1, with markets pricing a high likelihood of a follow-on Sonnet release in the coming weeks amid rapid iteration in the AI sector. Key watchpoints include any earnings commentary, developer conference signals, or internal roadmap leaks that could accelerate or delay the next version.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$19,245 Vol.
2026/09/30
9月30日
22%
10月31日
80%
12月31日
86%
$19,245 Vol.
9月30日
$975 Vol.
22%
10月31日
$10,754 Vol.
80%
12月31日
$3,777 Vol.
86%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s release of Claude Sonnet 5 on June 30, 2026—positioned as its most agentic large language model yet with stronger planning, tool use, browser and terminal integration, and coding performance close to Opus 4.8 at lower cost—sets the baseline for the next Sonnet iteration. The roughly four-month gap from Sonnet 4.6 in February aligns with Anthropic’s recent cadence of incremental mid-tier updates focused on agentic capabilities and competitive pricing against OpenAI and Google models. Trader sentiment reflects this pattern plus ongoing development of related models like Opus 5 and Fable 5.1, with markets pricing a high likelihood of a follow-on Sonnet release in the coming weeks amid rapid iteration in the AI sector. Key watchpoints include any earnings commentary, developer conference signals, or internal roadmap leaks that could accelerate or delay the next version.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ET
音量
$19,245終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s release of Claude Sonnet 5 on June 30, 2026—positioned as its most agentic large language model yet with stronger planning, tool use, browser and terminal integration, and coding performance close to Opus 4.8 at lower cost—sets the baseline for the next Sonnet iteration. The roughly four-month gap from Sonnet 4.6 in February aligns with Anthropic’s recent cadence of incremental mid-tier updates focused on agentic capabilities and competitive pricing against OpenAI and Google models. Trader sentiment reflects this pattern plus ongoing development of related models like Opus 5 and Fable 5.1, with markets pricing a high likelihood of a follow-on Sonnet release in the coming weeks amid rapid iteration in the AI sector. Key watchpoints include any earnings commentary, developer conference signals, or internal roadmap leaks that could accelerate or delay the next version.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$19,245終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s release of Claude Sonnet 5 on June 30, 2026—positioned as its most agentic large language model yet with stronger planning, tool use, browser and terminal integration, and coding performance close to Opus 4.8 at lower cost—sets the baseline for the next Sonnet iteration. The roughly four-month gap from Sonnet 4.6 in February aligns with Anthropic’s recent cadence of incremental mid-tier updates focused on agentic capabilities and competitive pricing against OpenAI and Google models. Trader sentiment reflects this pattern plus ongoing development of related models like Opus 5 and Fable 5.1, with markets pricing a high likelihood of a follow-on Sonnet release in the coming weeks amid rapid iteration in the AI sector. Key watchpoints include any earnings commentary, developer conference signals, or internal roadmap leaks that could accelerate or delay the next version.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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