Naim Qassem has served as Hezbollah secretary-general since his October 2024 election by the Shura Council, following the Israeli assassinations of Hassan Nasrallah and designated successor Hashem Safieddine. As of September 2026, he remains the incumbent, delivering frequent public addresses rejecting Lebanon-Israel framework agreements on withdrawal sequencing and disarmament, while affirming the group’s loyalty to Iran and resistance posture. Key pressures include reported Israeli targeting attempts, Lebanese government negotiations in Rome, internal leadership adjustments such as the appointment of a non-cleric deputy, and the loss of Syrian logistical routes after the Assad regime’s collapse. Trader assessments of removal timing center on risks of further targeted strikes, internal Shura Council shifts amid reconstruction challenges, or escalation tied to ongoing ceasefire implementation disputes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$944,004 Vol.
2026年12月31日
6%
$944,004 Vol.
2026年12月31日
6%
Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日: Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Naim Qassem has served as Hezbollah secretary-general since his October 2024 election by the Shura Council, following the Israeli assassinations of Hassan Nasrallah and designated successor Hashem Safieddine. As of September 2026, he remains the incumbent, delivering frequent public addresses rejecting Lebanon-Israel framework agreements on withdrawal sequencing and disarmament, while affirming the group’s loyalty to Iran and resistance posture. Key pressures include reported Israeli targeting attempts, Lebanese government negotiations in Rome, internal leadership adjustments such as the appointment of a non-cleric deputy, and the loss of Syrian logistical routes after the Assad regime’s collapse. Trader assessments of removal timing center on risks of further targeted strikes, internal Shura Council shifts amid reconstruction challenges, or escalation tied to ongoing ceasefire implementation disputes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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