The Michigan 7th congressional district remains one of the tightest 2026 House races, with trader consensus reflecting narrow polling averages near even and fundamentals that favor neither side decisively. Incumbent Republican Tom Barrett, who flipped the seat in 2024, faces Democrat William Lawrence, the progressive primary winner backed by organized labor and climate activists. Lawrence’s focus on healthcare expansion, tax policy, and local economic issues has energized the Democratic base in the Lansing-area swing district, while Barrett’s veteran background and moderate positioning appeal to independents. Recent scrutiny of Lawrence’s past statements has introduced volatility, yet the race’s tossup status and limited separation in early general-election data keep implied probabilities balanced ahead of November voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$20,416 Vol.
$20,416 Vol.
2026/11/03
ウィリアム・ローレンス（民主党）
50%
トム・バレット（共和党）
49%
$20,416 Vol.
$20,416 Vol.
2026/11/03
ウィリアム・ローレンス（民主党）
$13,442 Vol.
50%
トム・バレット（共和党）
$6,974 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Michigan 7th congressional district remains one of the tightest 2026 House races, with trader consensus reflecting narrow polling averages near even and fundamentals that favor neither side decisively. Incumbent Republican Tom Barrett, who flipped the seat in 2024, faces Democrat William Lawrence, the progressive primary winner backed by organized labor and climate activists. Lawrence’s focus on healthcare expansion, tax policy, and local economic issues has energized the Democratic base in the Lansing-area swing district, while Barrett’s veteran background and moderate positioning appeal to independents. Recent scrutiny of Lawrence’s past statements has introduced volatility, yet the race’s tossup status and limited separation in early general-election data keep implied probabilities balanced ahead of November voting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
音量
$20,416終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Michigan 7th congressional district remains one of the tightest 2026 House races, with trader consensus reflecting narrow polling averages near even and fundamentals that favor neither side decisively. Incumbent Republican Tom Barrett, who flipped the seat in 2024, faces Democrat William Lawrence, the progressive primary winner backed by organized labor and climate activists. Lawrence’s focus on healthcare expansion, tax policy, and local economic issues has energized the Democratic base in the Lansing-area swing district, while Barrett’s veteran background and moderate positioning appeal to independents. Recent scrutiny of Lawrence’s past statements has introduced volatility, yet the race’s tossup status and limited separation in early general-election data keep implied probabilities balanced ahead of November voting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$20,416終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...The Michigan 7th congressional district remains one of the tightest 2026 House races, with trader consensus reflecting narrow polling averages near even and fundamentals that favor neither side decisively. Incumbent Republican Tom Barrett, who flipped the seat in 2024, faces Democrat William Lawrence, the progressive primary winner backed by organized labor and climate activists. Lawrence’s focus on healthcare expansion, tax policy, and local economic issues has energized the Democratic base in the Lansing-area swing district, while Barrett’s veteran background and moderate positioning appeal to independents. Recent scrutiny of Lawrence’s past statements has introduced volatility, yet the race’s tossup status and limited separation in early general-election data keep implied probabilities balanced ahead of November voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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