Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga holds a modest edge in the Michigan 4th district race, reflecting the area's R+3 partisan voting index and his 2024 reelection margin. State Senator Sean McCann has narrowed the contest through strong early fundraising, a Democratic primary win, and one internal poll showing him ahead, though subsequent surveys and forecaster ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and others maintain a Lean Republican outlook. Recent developments include August primary victories for both nominees, dueling ads on issues like congressional stock trading, and Huizenga's incumbency advantages in name recognition across Allegan, Ottawa, and Kalamazoo counties. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader pricing aligns with the district's historical Republican tilt while accounting for McCann's momentum in a competitive environment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
ビル・ホイゼンガ（共和党）
56%
ショーン・マッカン（民主党）
42%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
ビル・ホイゼンガ（共和党）
$3,388 Vol.
56%
ショーン・マッカン（民主党）
$4,437 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga holds a modest edge in the Michigan 4th district race, reflecting the area's R+3 partisan voting index and his 2024 reelection margin. State Senator Sean McCann has narrowed the contest through strong early fundraising, a Democratic primary win, and one internal poll showing him ahead, though subsequent surveys and forecaster ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and others maintain a Lean Republican outlook. Recent developments include August primary victories for both nominees, dueling ads on issues like congressional stock trading, and Huizenga's incumbency advantages in name recognition across Allegan, Ottawa, and Kalamazoo counties. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader pricing aligns with the district's historical Republican tilt while accounting for McCann's momentum in a competitive environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
音量
$7,825終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga holds a modest edge in the Michigan 4th district race, reflecting the area's R+3 partisan voting index and his 2024 reelection margin. State Senator Sean McCann has narrowed the contest through strong early fundraising, a Democratic primary win, and one internal poll showing him ahead, though subsequent surveys and forecaster ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and others maintain a Lean Republican outlook. Recent developments include August primary victories for both nominees, dueling ads on issues like congressional stock trading, and Huizenga's incumbency advantages in name recognition across Allegan, Ottawa, and Kalamazoo counties. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader pricing aligns with the district's historical Republican tilt while accounting for McCann's momentum in a competitive environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$7,825終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga holds a modest edge in the Michigan 4th district race, reflecting the area's R+3 partisan voting index and his 2024 reelection margin. State Senator Sean McCann has narrowed the contest through strong early fundraising, a Democratic primary win, and one internal poll showing him ahead, though subsequent surveys and forecaster ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and others maintain a Lean Republican outlook. Recent developments include August primary victories for both nominees, dueling ads on issues like congressional stock trading, and Huizenga's incumbency advantages in name recognition across Allegan, Ottawa, and Kalamazoo counties. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader pricing aligns with the district's historical Republican tilt while accounting for McCann's momentum in a competitive environment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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