Jocelyn Benson holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Michigan governorship due to her consistent polling edge of roughly 6–8 points over Republican John James in recent surveys, combined with strong Democratic primary consolidation and a substantial fundraising advantage. The open seat created by term-limited incumbent Gretchen Whitmer has allowed Benson, as secretary of state, to build broad party support and name recognition ahead of the November 3 general election. James secured the Republican nomination with an endorsement from President Trump but trails in head-to-head matchups across multiple pollsters. Late-cycle developments such as shifts in voter turnout, economic conditions in the swing state, or unforeseen campaign events could narrow the gap and alter implied probabilities before ballots are cast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ジョセリン・ベンソン（民主党） 92%
ジョン・ジェームズ（共和党） 9%
無所属 <1%
$208,297 Vol.
$208,297 Vol.
2026/11/03
ジョセリン・ベンソン（民主党）
92%
ジョン・ジェームズ（共和党）
9%
無所属
<1%
ジョセリン・ベンソン（民主党） 92%
ジョン・ジェームズ（共和党） 9%
無所属 <1%
$208,297 Vol.
$208,297 Vol.
2026/11/03
ジョセリン・ベンソン（民主党）
$50,644 Vol.
92%
ジョン・ジェームズ（共和党）
$156,901 Vol.
9%
無所属
$753 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Jocelyn Benson holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Michigan governorship due to her consistent polling edge of roughly 6–8 points over Republican John James in recent surveys, combined with strong Democratic primary consolidation and a substantial fundraising advantage. The open seat created by term-limited incumbent Gretchen Whitmer has allowed Benson, as secretary of state, to build broad party support and name recognition ahead of the November 3 general election. James secured the Republican nomination with an endorsement from President Trump but trails in head-to-head matchups across multiple pollsters. Late-cycle developments such as shifts in voter turnout, economic conditions in the swing state, or unforeseen campaign events could narrow the gap and alter implied probabilities before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
音量
$208,297終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Jocelyn Benson holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Michigan governorship due to her consistent polling edge of roughly 6–8 points over Republican John James in recent surveys, combined with strong Democratic primary consolidation and a substantial fundraising advantage. The open seat created by term-limited incumbent Gretchen Whitmer has allowed Benson, as secretary of state, to build broad party support and name recognition ahead of the November 3 general election. James secured the Republican nomination with an endorsement from President Trump but trails in head-to-head matchups across multiple pollsters. Late-cycle developments such as shifts in voter turnout, economic conditions in the swing state, or unforeseen campaign events could narrow the gap and alter implied probabilities before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$208,297終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2f5e3684c...Jocelyn Benson holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Michigan governorship due to her consistent polling edge of roughly 6–8 points over Republican John James in recent surveys, combined with strong Democratic primary consolidation and a substantial fundraising advantage. The open seat created by term-limited incumbent Gretchen Whitmer has allowed Benson, as secretary of state, to build broad party support and name recognition ahead of the November 3 general election. James secured the Republican nomination with an endorsement from President Trump but trails in head-to-head matchups across multiple pollsters. Late-cycle developments such as shifts in voter turnout, economic conditions in the swing state, or unforeseen campaign events could narrow the gap and alter implied probabilities before ballots are cast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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