Incumbent Hillary Scholten holds a commanding position in Michigan's 3rd congressional district race due to her established record since flipping the seat in 2022, combined with strong fundraising and endorsements from labor groups ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest as likely or safe Democratic, reflecting Scholten's projected double-digit margin in models that incorporate district fundamentals and historical voting patterns. Terri DeBoer secured the Republican nomination in the August primary but trails significantly in implied probabilities. Late developments such as shifts in national midterm dynamics, turnout surges among Republican-leaning voters in western Michigan counties, or unforeseen campaign events could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$21,432 Vol.
$21,432 Vol.
2026/11/03
ヒラリー・ショルテン（民主党）
94%
テリー・デボーア（共和党）
6%
$21,432 Vol.
$21,432 Vol.
2026/11/03
ヒラリー・ショルテン（民主党）
$16,430 Vol.
94%
テリー・デボーア（共和党）
$5,002 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Hillary Scholten holds a commanding position in Michigan's 3rd congressional district race due to her established record since flipping the seat in 2022, combined with strong fundraising and endorsements from labor groups ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest as likely or safe Democratic, reflecting Scholten's projected double-digit margin in models that incorporate district fundamentals and historical voting patterns. Terri DeBoer secured the Republican nomination in the August primary but trails significantly in implied probabilities. Late developments such as shifts in national midterm dynamics, turnout surges among Republican-leaning voters in western Michigan counties, or unforeseen campaign events could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
音量
$21,432終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Hillary Scholten holds a commanding position in Michigan's 3rd congressional district race due to her established record since flipping the seat in 2022, combined with strong fundraising and endorsements from labor groups ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest as likely or safe Democratic, reflecting Scholten's projected double-digit margin in models that incorporate district fundamentals and historical voting patterns. Terri DeBoer secured the Republican nomination in the August primary but trails significantly in implied probabilities. Late developments such as shifts in national midterm dynamics, turnout surges among Republican-leaning voters in western Michigan counties, or unforeseen campaign events could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$21,432終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Hillary Scholten holds a commanding position in Michigan's 3rd congressional district race due to her established record since flipping the seat in 2022, combined with strong fundraising and endorsements from labor groups ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest as likely or safe Democratic, reflecting Scholten's projected double-digit margin in models that incorporate district fundamentals and historical voting patterns. Terri DeBoer secured the Republican nomination in the August primary but trails significantly in implied probabilities. Late developments such as shifts in national midterm dynamics, turnout surges among Republican-leaning voters in western Michigan counties, or unforeseen campaign events could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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