Taiwan's opposition parties, holding a slim majority but short of the two-thirds supermajority required in the 113-seat Legislative Yuan, launched impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over disputes involving revenue-sharing legislation and executive refusal to countersign bills. The motion advanced to a floor vote in May 2026, receiving 56 supporting votes against 50 opposed and failing to meet the 76-vote threshold needed to advance to the Constitutional Court. No subsequent proceedings have advanced since that outcome. Ongoing partisan divisions between the DPP-led executive and the KMT-TPP coalition continue to shape legislative dynamics, with defense budget negotiations and cross-strait policy serving as additional flashpoints, though structural barriers in the impeachment process remain the dominant constraint reflected in market pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1,358,998 Vol.
2026/12/31
12月31日
3%
$1,358,998 Vol.
12月31日
$303 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition parties, holding a slim majority but short of the two-thirds supermajority required in the 113-seat Legislative Yuan, launched impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over disputes involving revenue-sharing legislation and executive refusal to countersign bills. The motion advanced to a floor vote in May 2026, receiving 56 supporting votes against 50 opposed and failing to meet the 76-vote threshold needed to advance to the Constitutional Court. No subsequent proceedings have advanced since that outcome. Ongoing partisan divisions between the DPP-led executive and the KMT-TPP coalition continue to shape legislative dynamics, with defense budget negotiations and cross-strait policy serving as additional flashpoints, though structural barriers in the impeachment process remain the dominant constraint reflected in market pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ET
音量
$1,358,998終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition parties, holding a slim majority but short of the two-thirds supermajority required in the 113-seat Legislative Yuan, launched impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over disputes involving revenue-sharing legislation and executive refusal to countersign bills. The motion advanced to a floor vote in May 2026, receiving 56 supporting votes against 50 opposed and failing to meet the 76-vote threshold needed to advance to the Constitutional Court. No subsequent proceedings have advanced since that outcome. Ongoing partisan divisions between the DPP-led executive and the KMT-TPP coalition continue to shape legislative dynamics, with defense budget negotiations and cross-strait policy serving as additional flashpoints, though structural barriers in the impeachment process remain the dominant constraint reflected in market pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
音量
$1,358,998終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Taiwan's opposition parties, holding a slim majority but short of the two-thirds supermajority required in the 113-seat Legislative Yuan, launched impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over disputes involving revenue-sharing legislation and executive refusal to countersign bills. The motion advanced to a floor vote in May 2026, receiving 56 supporting votes against 50 opposed and failing to meet the 76-vote threshold needed to advance to the Constitutional Court. No subsequent proceedings have advanced since that outcome. Ongoing partisan divisions between the DPP-led executive and the KMT-TPP coalition continue to shape legislative dynamics, with defense budget negotiations and cross-strait policy serving as additional flashpoints, though structural barriers in the impeachment process remain the dominant constraint reflected in market pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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