**President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a clear majority in the National Assembly (161 of 300 seats), while the main opposition People Power Party controls only about 110.** Impeachment requires a two-thirds vote (200 seats), making passage dependent on substantial cross-party support that has not materialized. An opposition-backed petition for impeachment collected over 100,000 signatures in June 2026 and was referred to committee, yet it has not advanced further. Lee’s approval rating has fallen to 37 percent amid criticism of cabinet nominees and real estate policy, prompting recent withdrawals of two justice and gender-equality picks. In a September 18 press conference, Lee acknowledged public concerns, ruled out any re-election bid as constitutionally impossible, and sought to defuse controversy over a pending special-counsel bill by asking lawmakers to remove provisions that could affect already-indicted cases. His suspended criminal trials and ongoing reform agenda have fueled opposition rhetoric but have not shifted the legislative arithmetic needed for removal. These structural and political realities underpin traders’ strong consensus that impeachment before 2027 remains unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$21,793 Vol.
$21,793 Vol.
はい
$21,793 Vol.
$21,793 Vol.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...**President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a clear majority in the National Assembly (161 of 300 seats), while the main opposition People Power Party controls only about 110.** Impeachment requires a two-thirds vote (200 seats), making passage dependent on substantial cross-party support that has not materialized. An opposition-backed petition for impeachment collected over 100,000 signatures in June 2026 and was referred to committee, yet it has not advanced further. Lee’s approval rating has fallen to 37 percent amid criticism of cabinet nominees and real estate policy, prompting recent withdrawals of two justice and gender-equality picks. In a September 18 press conference, Lee acknowledged public concerns, ruled out any re-election bid as constitutionally impossible, and sought to defuse controversy over a pending special-counsel bill by asking lawmakers to remove provisions that could affect already-indicted cases. His suspended criminal trials and ongoing reform agenda have fueled opposition rhetoric but have not shifted the legislative arithmetic needed for removal. These structural and political realities underpin traders’ strong consensus that impeachment before 2027 remains unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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