Sarah Trone Garriott holds a strong edge in the IA-03 race according to trader consensus, reflecting her record of winning competitive Iowa Senate seats in Republican-leaning areas and a fundraising advantage over incumbent Zach Nunn. The Des Moines-based district has seen narrow Republican victories in recent cycles, with Nunn securing reelection by under four points in both 2022 and 2024 amid a slight GOP presidential lean. Garriott's primary victory in June cleared the Democratic path, and her emphasis on health care access, education, and reproductive rights has resonated in a toss-up or lean-Democratic contest per most forecasters. Nunn highlights his legislative record on taxes, security, and rural health investments while challenging Garriott to debates ahead of the November 3 general election. The outcome will influence House majority control, with traders pricing in Garriott's crossover appeal and resource edge as decisive factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$11,012 Vol.
$11,012 Vol.
2026/11/04
サラ・トローン・ギャリオット（民主党）
77%
ザック・ナン（共和党）
23%
$11,012 Vol.
$11,012 Vol.
2026/11/04
サラ・トローン・ギャリオット（民主党）
$4,655 Vol.
77%
ザック・ナン（共和党）
$6,357 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sarah Trone Garriott holds a strong edge in the IA-03 race according to trader consensus, reflecting her record of winning competitive Iowa Senate seats in Republican-leaning areas and a fundraising advantage over incumbent Zach Nunn. The Des Moines-based district has seen narrow Republican victories in recent cycles, with Nunn securing reelection by under four points in both 2022 and 2024 amid a slight GOP presidential lean. Garriott's primary victory in June cleared the Democratic path, and her emphasis on health care access, education, and reproductive rights has resonated in a toss-up or lean-Democratic contest per most forecasters. Nunn highlights his legislative record on taxes, security, and rural health investments while challenging Garriott to debates ahead of the November 3 general election. The outcome will influence House majority control, with traders pricing in Garriott's crossover appeal and resource edge as decisive factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
音量
$11,012終了日
2026/11/05マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sarah Trone Garriott holds a strong edge in the IA-03 race according to trader consensus, reflecting her record of winning competitive Iowa Senate seats in Republican-leaning areas and a fundraising advantage over incumbent Zach Nunn. The Des Moines-based district has seen narrow Republican victories in recent cycles, with Nunn securing reelection by under four points in both 2022 and 2024 amid a slight GOP presidential lean. Garriott's primary victory in June cleared the Democratic path, and her emphasis on health care access, education, and reproductive rights has resonated in a toss-up or lean-Democratic contest per most forecasters. Nunn highlights his legislative record on taxes, security, and rural health investments while challenging Garriott to debates ahead of the November 3 general election. The outcome will influence House majority control, with traders pricing in Garriott's crossover appeal and resource edge as decisive factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$11,012終了日
2026/11/05マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2f5e3684c...Sarah Trone Garriott holds a strong edge in the IA-03 race according to trader consensus, reflecting her record of winning competitive Iowa Senate seats in Republican-leaning areas and a fundraising advantage over incumbent Zach Nunn. The Des Moines-based district has seen narrow Republican victories in recent cycles, with Nunn securing reelection by under four points in both 2022 and 2024 amid a slight GOP presidential lean. Garriott's primary victory in June cleared the Democratic path, and her emphasis on health care access, education, and reproductive rights has resonated in a toss-up or lean-Democratic contest per most forecasters. Nunn highlights his legislative record on taxes, security, and rural health investments while challenging Garriott to debates ahead of the November 3 general election. The outcome will influence House majority control, with traders pricing in Garriott's crossover appeal and resource edge as decisive factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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